Now that Scooter Libby has done his crutch-assisted version
of the perp hop for his arraignment, the second biggest question on everyone’s
mind in the CIA leak case (the first, of course, being a multiple choice one of
whether Karl Rove will either (a) be indicted, (b) resign, (c) both, (d)
apologize and throw himself on the mercy of the American people, or (d) none of
the above), is whether Libby’s case will go to trial.
I have already weighed in on this question, in no uncertain terms.
Much has been made of the fact that Libby has now lawyered
up with the addition of two prominent criminal defense attorneys,
Theodore Wells and
William Jeffress, Jr. both of whom accompanied Libby to his arraignment, and
one of whom, Wells, made what could only be described as a resounding
pronouncement on the courthouse steps that
YEAH, RIGHT! This is the same kind of speech every
criminal defendant’s lawyer gives who, for whatever reason, hasn’t worked out a
deal for his client before he’s been indicted. It goes hand in glove
with the innocent until proven guilty, flag-waving pablum everyone spouts
about the accused, even if they really believe he’s guilty (which most people
usually do). But here, because Libby has hired two trial lawyers, one of whom
has made a stentorian speech about his client’s innocence and desire to clear
his name, the uninitiated are assuming it must mean he really does want to go to
trial. Nothing could be farther from the truth, and the fact that accomplished
trial lawyers have been hired is the strongest evidence of that.
As in all adversary legal proceedings, where each party is
represented by counsel, there is a stage of the proceeding (sometimes more than
one) where the parties’ lawyers do what I call the war dance. It’s a bit like
what goes on in the animal kingdom when two beasts who have come to loggerheads
square off against each other and
strut their stuff in an effort to convince their adversary it would be a
mistake to rumble. So, one party bellows, followed by the other; then one party
thumps the table, followed by the other, and so on. And, of course, the more
credibly each participant in the war dance struts his stuff, the more they may
be able to avoid, or at least mitigate, the inevitability of a rumble.
Sometimes that means the party that brandishes the biggest weapon during this
stage of the preliminaries can walk away without having to fire a shot. And big
guns require big (read: expensive) gunslingers. That, my friends, is also why
high profile criminal defendants hire high power defense lawyers.
What’s happened so far in the Libby criminal proceedings is
that the prosecutor has had his opportunity to bellow and thump the table (with
the indictment and during his press conference announcing the indictment), and
now Libby’s lawyers have had the same opportunity (Mr. Wells’ pronouncement on
the courthouse steps). Libby has now said to Fitzgerald, OK, Mr. Big Stuff
Prosecutor; my defense team can beat your prosecution team any day of the week
(or in GWB vernacular, bring it on). Now the parties will retreat to their
separate corners and, yes, go through the motions of preparing for trial.
But let me assure you, behind the scenes there will be some
intense negotiations between the government and Libby’s lawyers to enter into
some kind of plea agreement. And, those negotiations will get even more intense
as Libby’s defense team finds out what the evidence against their client is,
which they will. Key in those discussions will be whether Libby will rat out
his boss, the Vice President, or lead prosecutors to where any other bodies may
be buried in the whole Wilson/Plame debacle (i.e., the Italian connection). But
even if he doesn’t turn on his boss, his boss may turn on him, trying to force
him to cop some kind of plea to lesser, or limited charges, in order to avoid a
full-blown trial. In fact,
most criminal defendants (96% in 2003) choose to plead guilty or no contest.
But don’t kid yourself. Just because Libby has hired
trial attorneys, or even these particular ones, doesn’t mean they won’t be
doing everything they can to explore ways in which they can avoid going to
trial, not because they’re afraid to, but because they know the risks and costs
of doing so. For example, one of Mr. Wells’ most prominent clients was the
famed junk bond king, Michael Milken http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Michael_Milken
Milken, who, despite the same kinds of pronouncements of innocence and intended
vindication at the time of the indictments (which included 98 counts of
racketeering, and securities fraud, among others), didn’t go to trial. Instead,
the prosecutor in the case, Rudy Giuliani (back before he started making the big
bucks) and Milken’s lawyers, including Mr. Wells, entered into a plea agreement
under which Milken eventually served 22 months in federal prison, paid $600
million in fines and restitution and agreed to be barred from the securities
industry for life. Some bargain, eh?
And Mr. Jeffress? One of his high profile criminal clients
was the CEO of the drug chain, Rite-Aid, Martin Glass. Glass was indicted on
numerous counts of securities fraud, mail fraud, wire fraud, conspiracy, perjury
and obstruction of justice. Instead of going to trial, he pleaded to two
conspiracy charges, and payment of a $500,000 fine, and
was sentenced to an eight-year jail term.
I mention these two examples (and I assume there are
probably others) in the case of Libby’s new legal team only to point out that
just because these are hotshot trial lawyers doesn’t mean they aren’t more than
able and willing to pack their trial weapons in, and go for the best deal they
can possibly get for their client. This is especially so, given the effect of
plea bargains on the federal sentencing
guidelines (one of which has substantially
increased the time required to be served for the crime of obstruction of
justice), and the ability to have more say about which of the
glamour slammers one gets to go to when one plays ball with the
prosecutors.
The simple fact is that in any
criminal prosecution, but even more so in this one, both the stakes and the
costs are simply too high to Libby (and to the people for whom he’s acting as
the patsy) to go all the way. The proceedings leading up to and including a
trial for a very high profile defendant can easily run into seven figures, and
sometimes higher. And, while no price may be too great to pay for freedom, a
well-negotiated plea agreement that obviates the pain, suffering and financial
distress associated with going all the way through a trial, even if it may be at
the expense of some kind of negotiated punishment, is almost always better than
going all the way. No, my friends, there will be no trial for Scooter Libby.
P.S. Let’s also remember, by way
of explaining why a trial in this case will never happen, that if worse comes to
worst, and it really looks like Libby’s case is going to go to trial, and that
Cheney (and who knows who else the White House doesn’t want to testify) might
actually have to testify, there are at least two other alternatives available to
the powers that be: first, they can always involuntarily (and permanently) put
Libby in one or another (official or otherwise) witness protection program
“glamor slammers”, and second, they can always send him to one of the
recently disclosed
CIA secret prisons, where they’ll never have to worry about seeing him
appear in a courtroom in the District of Columbia (or, for that matter, any
courtroom anywhere else either) again. Hey, let’s not forget, those detainees
are innocent until proven guilty too—aren’t they?