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Beyond the Arc Sports

Roster Forecast: Center

This post was meant for Friday, but I ended up getting a new computer that morning and most the day was spent transferring contents from one to the other. As this is posted, CBA talks are ongoing in New York and there seems to be at least some progress being made. Hopefully by the middle of next week we’ll have a season-preserving resolution in place. For now, onto the team’s roster status in the middle:

Marc Gasol

Marc Gasol
Regular Season: 31.9 mpg, 11.7 ppg, 7.0 rpg, 2.5 apg, .91 spg, 1.68 bpg, 1.8 tpg, 16.9 PER, 53fg%, 75ft%
Playoffs: 39.9 mpg, 15.0 ppg, 11.2 ppg, 2.2 apg, 1.1 spg, 2.2 bpg, 2.0 tpg, 18.9 PER, 51fg%, 70ft%
Age: 26
Contract Status: Restricted free agent with a qualifying offer of $4.5 million.

If the Grizzlies were a better team in the postseason — and I’m not sure they actually were — then the biggest reason for that was Marc Gasol. For starters, Gasol was better in the playoffs. After coming into camp seemingly a little heavier and then opening his third season playing through an ankle sprain, Gasol generally underperformed compared to his breakout sophomore campaign, his rebounding falling off a little (rebound rate down from 15.1 to 13.2) and his shooting falling off a lot (58% to under 52%).

Gasol started to round back into shape late in the regular season. He shot 57% and 55% in March and April, and averaged 9 boards and 2 blocks in the final month. In the playoffs, he was terrific, notching double-doubles in seven of 13 games, along with a 24/9 in the Game 1 win in San Antonio. He arguably outplayed Tim Duncan head-to-head in the first-round series.

But it wasn’t just how well he played, it was how much. Gasol went from averaging 31.9 minutes a game in the regular season to to 39.9 in the post-season. Gasol couldn’t handle that in the regular season, and even over 13 playoff games he seemed to wear down a little. But Gasol is so big and impacts the game in so many ways — scoring, rebounding, defense, facilitation — that being able to have him on the floor that much had a huge impact.