Categories
Beyond the Arc Sports

Deflections: Monta Ellis, A Coaching Theory, Finals Ratings

1. Does Monta Make Sense?

Monta Ellis

  • Monta Ellis

I wasn’t going to get into free agency and other off-season speculation until after next week’s draft, but here’s one that landed in our lap: Milwaukee Bucks guard Monta Ellis is reportedly opting out of the final year of his current contract, at $11 million, turning down a reported extension offer of two years and $24 million in the process and becoming a free agent this summer. Soon after that report, Bucks beat writer Gery Woelfel suggested on Twitter than Ellis has told friends he would be interested in playing for the Grizzlies.

What to make of this? On the first item, the odds of Ellis matching the three years and $35 million he allegedly left on the table in Milwaukee seem slim, but maybe he just wants to be out of Milwaukee that badly. The odds of Ellis getting a similar contract from the Grizzlies is close to zero, but the idea that he would target the Grizzlies is not surprising. Ellis is a Mississippi native who makes his off-season home in Memphis. Coming to Memphis would also likely land him in a winning situation with a team that needs more scoring and shot creation.

Still, there are plenty of hurdles and questions standing in the way of this theoretical partnership.

Is it financially feasible?:

I’ll break down the Grizzlies’ cap situation in more detail in a couple of weeks, but based on published salaries, the Grizzlies projected roster payroll for next season is currently at $57,567,539 for eight players (Conley, Gasol, Randolph, Prince, Pondexter, Davis, Arthur, Wroten). Add cap holds and draft picks and the Grizzlies will enter the free agency period above the projected salary cap line of $58.5 million but below the projected luxury tax line of $71.5 million. This will give the team access to the full mid-level exception, which starts at $5.15 million, which would be the most the Grizzlies could offer any outside free agent this summer in terms of starting salary.

However, that’s not the only method via which the Grizzlies could acquire Ellis or a player of similar stature. The team also has a trade exception of nearly $7.5 million from the Rudy Gay deal. But the financial issues at play here go beyond merely the rules that govern player acquisition.

Categories
Beyond the Arc Sports

Coaching Clarity: Two or Three Things I Know about the Hollins’ Situation

Dave Joerger [right] may be next in line as Lionel Hollins tenure as Grizzlies head coach ends.

  • LARRY KUZNIEWSKI
  • Dave Joerger [right] may be next in line as Lionel Hollins’ tenure as Grizzlies’ head coach ends.

If coach Lionel Hollins and general manager Chris Wallace weren’t part of the Grizzlies’ future, an uninformed onlooker wouldn’t have known it from the team’s draft workout Monday morning, where Hollins and Wallace sat at the back of the gym talking and new chief decision-maker Jason Levien was nowhere to be seen. But clarity finally came to the Grizzlies’ increasingly messy coaching situation later that day, with the team announcing, via an official release, that it had severed ties with Hollins, whose contract was set to expire at the end of the month.

A few things I know as the Grizzlies officially embark on a new era:

This shouldn’t be that surprising: Lionel Hollins’ fate as Grizzlies coach was always dependent on the resolution of conflicting normalcies: “Don’t mess with success” vs. “New owners hire new people.” When Hollins bristled publicly about the Grizzlies’ new front office on multiple occasions mid-season, the odds tipped in the favor of change but that didn’t seal his fate. Instead, closing interviews — not just with Hollins but with others around the organization — seemed to convince team CEO Jason Levien to make the change he probably always desired.

There are many factors at play in this unpopular decision, but it’s ultimately about an apparently unbridgeable cultural divide: Hollins is of the “you provide the players, I’ll coach them” mold. Levien and controlling owner Robert Pera want to forge a more collaborative organizational culture, one where everyone is working on the same track and the coaching staff doesn’t just receive players from the team’s front office, but also actionable information. Even as Hollins publicly dismissed talk about “philosophical differences,” those very differences were on display.

Film references are instructive (at least for me): Via Japanese master Akira Kurosawa there’s the Rashomon effect, in which truth is difficult to uncover because people tend to give contradictory interpretations of the same event. Hollins, by his account, thought his exit meeting with Levien and Pera went really well. Levien and Pera apparently thought otherwise. Via French titan Jean Renoir’s The Rules of the Game is the wisdom of “The awful thing about life is this: Everybody has their reasons.” It’s equally easy to see — at least to me — why Hollins would assume he’d earned a new deal and also why Levien would be reluctant to commit a long-term contract to a coach with whom he didn’t think he could have a productive working relationship. Blame feels irrelevant.

“Risk” and “mistake” are different things: “Don’t mess with success” is pretty persuasive if you ask me, but to call this a mistake is to assume a future, and I don’t put that much stock in the importance of Hollins or any individual coach. But it’s certainly a risk. There are obviously coaches out there who can work better with his bosses. There are also a smaller number who can be as or more successful on the floor. There’s a smaller group still who can do both. And there’s no guarantee this or any front office can successfully choose that person no matter how good a hire seems at the time. Past Grizzlies history is instructive here.

But, to his credit, Levien showed a confidence and willingness to make unpopular decisions with the Rudy Gay trade, though the team was on firmer ground there, even if a lot of traditionalists didn’t know it (and still don’t). The risk is greater this time.

Categories
Sports Sports Feature

Calipari, U of M, China Exchange in The New York Times

The New York Times weighs in with a story on Memphis Coach John Calipari’s innovative China-Memphis basketball exchange:

In a move that may someday help expand the exposure of college basketball in China, the University of Memphis signed an agreement with the Chinese Basketball Association.
Skip to next paragraph

Memphis Coach John Calipari traveled to Beijing with university and city officials for the announcement of the deal, which will include Calipari’s running a series of coaching clinics and camps throughout China in the next five years.

Also, 15 men’s and women’s coaches chosen by the Chinese Basketball Association will go to Memphis for 10 days in October to learn from Calipari and his coaching staff. They will evaluate how Memphis, which could be ranked No. 1 entering this season, runs its program. One of the Chinese coaches will stay with the Tigers for the season.

Read the rest of the Times story.