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Don’t Take This Advice

We talk a lot about best-practice financial ideas in this space, but here are four sayings you might hear that probably aren’t going to contribute to your long-term financial success.

Wait for a dip.

For many investors, their biggest fear is buying into the market and seeing the value drop a few percent in the next days and weeks. This is true even for investments like IRAs where the account most likely won’t be touched for decades. A lot of money has been lost over the years due to the opportunity cost of not buying into the market as early as possible and compounding over time — there’s no reason to wait. Retirees today seeing the S&P 500 at 4600 aren’t concerned if they bought in in the 1980s when it was at 350 vs. 400. They’re just glad they bought in.

Cash is king.

This is one of those old-fashioned aphorisms that has some truth to it but can be devastating to long-term financial performance. Cash can be comforting in the face of extreme market dislocations. Also, cash can be important if you’re extremely leveraged up or have unreliable or inconsistent employment income. Even so, cash is almost always a terrible “investment,” especially now, with low interest rates and relatively high inflation. Cash is a place to keep money that is likely to be needed soon, not to plan for the future. Absent a deflationary spiral, it’s hard to imagine an attractive (or even adequate) return on cash in the coming years.

Nobody ever lost money taking profits.

Closely related to “cash is king,” this sentiment has lost a lot of money in opportunity costs over the years. Let’s say you or your advisor carefully consider an investment choice and buy it. If it goes up 5 percent the next day, you might be inclined to sell it to lock in your gains. But then what will you do? Keep the proceeds in cash? Buy your second-best investment idea in that asset class? When stocks or funds consistently reach 52-week highs (or all-time highs!) it can be unsettling. But as long as GDP is rising, productivity growth remains positive, and inflation continues to tick up, the nominal value of a country’s equity market generally should consistently rise as time goes on. In such an environment, markets “should” be setting all-time highs relatively frequently.

Invest in what you know.

Investor Peter Lynch, legendary manager of Fidelity’s Magellan Fund between 1977 and 1990, popularized a style of investing focused on buying stocks associated with products you know and love. This certainly worked for Peter during the time he was active, but probably isn’t the best way to construct a diversified portfolio.

Closely related to the Lynch style of investing is the well-documented matter of home bias: Investors tend to prefer positions in their home countries or even smaller geographic regions. Academic research has demonstrated that the only “free lunch” in investing is diversification, meaning that diversification can reduce risk without reducing expected returns. Some professionals have been wildly successful with concentrated positions, but diversification is a good friend of typical investors. Your friends and neighbors who hit home runs with a single stock in their portfolio are probably more lucky than good.

Gene Gard is Chief Investment Officer at Telarray, a Memphis-based wealth management firm that helps families navigate investment, tax, estate, and retirement decisions. Ask him your question at ggard@telarrayadvisors.com or sign up for the next free online seminar on the Events tab at telarrayadvisors.com.

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Hello There! I Have a Date For You

You might have read the above headlines and thought “Oh, fun! A date!” It’s a trap, but I make no apologies, as I needed to say something other than “Medicare” to get your attention. Now that I have you, I hope I can keep you a little longer.

With all things governmental, there are special dates that must be observed. April 15th for taxes. December 31st for year-end. Turn 18 and you can vote. Medicare also has dates, but luckily there are ranges that give windows of opportunities to add or make changes to Medicare choices. Since we are now at the beginning of one of those windows, I thought it would be helpful to understand what they mean and why you might be interested in the opportunities afforded.

Zimmytws | Dreamstime.comS

What are those letters again? Here is a quick primer of Medicare parts:

Part A covers hospitalization and is generally available to you at no charge.

Part B covers doctors and has a monthly premium that can be increased/decreased each year based on your modified adjusted gross income.

Part C is Medicare Advantage, which includes Parts A and B and sometimes Part D, but plans are limited to your local area and resemble HMOs or PPOs. There is a premium that is based upon the plan options you choose. Part C is provided through a Medicare-approved private company and might also offer vision and dental coverage.

Part D covers prescriptions and has a monthly premium.

As a rule, you will file for Medicare Part A at age 65 since there is no cost to you if you are a covered worker. Also as a rule, you will file for Medicare Part B and Part D at age 65 or when you lose creditable employer coverage, whichever comes last. Why the difference? While you are covered at work, there is no need to additionally pay the Medicare premium for Part B and D. This applies if your company has 20 or more employees, so check with your HR department to verify before you delay.

So, what are the special dates for Medicare?

Initial enrollment period (for all parts): seven-month period of first eligibility, which includes the three months prior, the month of, and the three months after your 65th birthday.

Special enrollment period (for all parts): eight-month period starting the month after your employment ends or your current employment group insurance ends. Note this does not include COBRA coverage or retiree health plans, as these are not considered current employee coverage.

General enrollment period (if you didn’t sign up during the initial or special enrollment periods): January 1st through March 31st each year. Coverage will start July 1st, and premiums could be higher if you didn’t sign up when you were first eligible.

Open enrollment period (Parts C and D): October 15th through December 7th each year. This period allows you to add Part D if you didn’t when you first enrolled in Medicare (there could be a higher premium), switch from Original Medicare (Parts A and B) to Medicare Advantage (Part C) or back if you started with Part C, switch from one Part D plan to another Part D plan, or drop your Part D coverage completely.

As you can imagine, there are plenty of “if this, then that” scenarios involved with Medicare. If you fail to obtain coverage in a timely manner, premiums can be permanently increased and you might find yourself without coverage for a period of time. But if you are observant of the important deadlines and are timely in your actions (this is where your wealth strategist can help), you can successfully navigate your dates.

Kathy Williams, CFP, CDFA, is Principal and Senior Wealth Strategist at Waddell & Associates.