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St. Louis Cardinals Mid-Season Report

Matt Carpenter

You could have won a bet or two last March had you suggested Jorge Rondon, Eric Fornataro, Nick Greenwood, and Marco Gonzales (who??) would each pitch for the St. Louis Cardinals before the 2014 All-Star break. (The next time someone suggests a baseball team has too much pitching, stifle laughter and take the conversation elsewhere.) Injuries have compromised what appeared to be the deepest pitching staff in baseball, sending three Cardinal starters — Joe Kelly, Jaime Garcia, and most ominously, Michael Wacha — to the disabled list and leaving the fate of the defending National League champions all the more on the right arm of ace Adam Wainwright.

But even with the I-55 pitching shuttle from Memphis, (don’t forget Sam Freeman or Tyler Lyons), the Cardinals’ current crisis of confidence has more to do with the men trusted to score runs than with those tasked with preventing them. Even with a 1.89 ERA (through Sunday), Wainwright has four losses. Before going down with his mysterious shoulder injury, Wacha lost five games despite a 2.79 ERA. Near the bottom of baseball in runs and home runs, the Cardinal batting order no longer intimidates.

After St. Louis lost the 2013 World Series to Boston, Cardinal general manager John Mozeliak decided to part ways with a pair of veterans — rightfielder Carlos Beltran and third-baseman David Freese — to open playing time for a pair of recent Memphis Redbirds: second-baseman Kolten Wong and first-baseman Matt Adams. This transition required a pair of position moves by a pair of 2013 All-Stars, with Matt Carpenter shifting from second base to his natural spot at third, and Allen Craig moving from first base to rightfield. Whether or not it’s related to the position switch, Carpenter and Craig have underperformed, and dramatically when compared with their 2013 numbers. After leading all of baseball in hits last season, Carpenter has seen his batting average drop from .318 to .282. Worse, he’s striking out far too frequently (65 times) for a leadoff hitter (he went down 98 times all of last season). As for Craig — a metronomic .300 hitter throughout his professional career — the drop in production has been precipitous. He’s currently batting .249 (compared with .315 a year ago) and slugging .365 (compared with .522 just two years ago). With Craig signed through 2017 and Carpenter through 2019, these are numbers that need to take a turn for the better. Taken together, they’re a tipping point.

Solutions? The Cardinals hope one is Oscar Taveras, the hitter scouts and Cardinal fans have been breathlessly anticipating for two years now. After a 2013 season compromised by an ankle injury, Taveras homered in his Cardinal debut at Busch Stadium on May 31st. (To this point, it’s the highlight of the Cardinal season.) But after struggling (.189 batting average) through 11 games, Taveras returned to Memphis, where he resumed mashing pitchers in the Pacific Coast League (.318 batting average, .502 slugging percentage with the Redbirds). The challenge for St. Louis is finding Taveras a regular spot in the batting order (he was recalled to St. Louis last week). The Cardinals have been resistant to playing Taveras in centerfield, so he’ll have to share time with Craig in right or veteran Matt Holliday in left if he’s to make anywhere near the impact the Cardinals hope he does. (As a left-handed batter, he could theoretically platoon with either of the other two right-handed corner outfielders.)

Beyond Taveras, the Cardinals will at least dip their toes in the trade waters this month (the non-waiver deadline is July 31st). And this is where current Redbird prospects like Stephen Piscotty and Randal Grichuk could come into play. If the Cardinal system has a surplus anywhere — it’s not pitching, remember — it’s in the outfield. Could a run-producing third-baseman or second-baseman be found? (A shoulder injury recently sidelined Wong, who homered in his return to St. Louis Sunday .) Bottom line: for the first time since the Cardinals acquired Mark McGwire during the 1997 season, their offense is without a marquee slugger. The highest-paid hitter remains Holliday, whose current averages (.263 batting, .378 slugging) are shades of his career figures (.309, .523). In some respects, he’s the face of this season’s struggles. For an offense that leads the National League in double plays, Holliday has hit into the most: 13.

The Milwaukee Brewers are for real. The Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds are back in contention after sluggish starts. For the first time in years, the St. Louis Cardinals are fighting for relevance, not so much among World Series contenders, but within their own five-team division. Take comfort, Cardinal Nation, in the Chicago Cubs.

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From My Seat Sports

Memphis Redbirds Season Review*

For the first time in 11 years of writing this column, I’m incorporating the sports world’s most distinct qualifier — an asterisk — in the title. Sporting a less-than-impressive record of 65-71 through Sunday, the Memphis Redbirds will conclude their 2013 season on Labor Day, having played their final 13 games away from AutoZone Park. Yet the team finds itself merely two games back of Omaha (with eight games to play) in the race for a Pacific Coast League playoff berth. Consider this column a wrap-up . . . unless it’s not.

On one hand, the 2013 season has been the most disappointing since the franchise arrived in Memphis in 1998. On the other, it will be among the most memorable. The reason for each view, it turns out, is essentially the same.

Allison Rhoades

Kolten Wong

First, the disappointment. The top farm club in a system ranked number-one by Baseball America will likely finish the season under .500 for a second straight year. Having suited up four of the top 100 prospects in the minor leagues, the Redbirds never truly took flight, never winning five straight games (and winning four in a row only three times). Playing in the Pacific Coast League’s weakest division, Memphis found itself in first place as late as July 27th, but with a losing record at the time (52-56). The Redbirds returned home on August 16th for a five game series against the team — Omaha — two games in front of them in the standings, then proceeded to lose the first three games of the series. (They won the last two.) The Storm Chasers may end up with a losing record themselves . . . and a division championship. Wins and losses aside, the underlying story throughout the five-month season was the ankle injury that limited outfielder Oscar Taveras — minor league baseball’s third-ranked prospect entering the season — to 46 games, and only 20 at AutoZone Park.

But the season’s had its rewards, especially for local St. Louis Cardinal fans looking for previews of coming attractions. If you picked your outing carefully, you could have seen seven starts by Michael Wacha, the big righty from Texas A & M now pitching out of the Cardinals’ bullpen. Wacha’s line for the season: 5-3 record, 2.65 ERA, and 73 strikeouts in 85 innings. Ranked even higher than Wacha (#76) by Baseball America, Carlos Martinez (#38) made eight starts at AutoZone Park, flashing signs of being the “Baby Pedro” [Martinez] many have started calling him. The soon-to-be 22-year-old Martinez is a raw talent. In his last start at AutoZone Park, he held Omaha to one hit over the first four innings, then failed to get an out in the fifth before being removed by manager Pop Warner, the Storm Chasers scoring runs via walk, hit-by-pitch, and even a balk.

Appearing more regularly for the ’Birds was second-baseman Kolten Wong (#84 in B.A.’s ranking), a player bound for everyday duty at second base in the big leagues. Wong hit .303 for Memphis and became the seventh player in franchise history to hit 10 home runs and steal 20 bases. He’s now complicating Cardinal manager Mike Matheny’s life, taking playing time from stalwart third-baseman and World Series hero David Freese. (When Wong starts for St. Louis, Matt Carpenter generally moves from second to third base, the position he played for the Redbirds in 2011.)

In terms of the players we saw on the field in 2013, the season was a bold reminder that Triple-A baseball exists to serve the parent club. No fewer than eight pitchers made their debuts with the Cardinals this season: Wacha, Martinez, Seth Maness, John Gast, Tyler Lyons, Kevin Siegrist, Keith Butler, and Michael Blazek. When you add Trevor Rosenthal to this list — Rosenthal essentially skipped Triple A by making the Cardinal roster out of spring training — you have what amounts to an entire pitching staff that would have made the team in Memphis that much more competitive, had they not been pitching so much in big-league stadiums. Imagine a Redbird rotation of Wacha, Martinez, Maness, Gast, and Lyons all season long. (Gast set a franchise record with 32 straight scoreless innings to start the season, but has been sidelined since May with a back injury.) Scott McGregor (5.08 ERA), Nick Additon (4.10), and Boone Whiting (4.42) at times appeared to be punching above their weight class. The 2013 Redbirds, bottom line, suffered for the needs of the Cardinals.

• If we’re naming a Redbirds player of the year, it has to be first-baseman Brock Peterson. As recently as 2012 an independent-league reclamation project, Peterson leads the PCL with 24 home runs and has driven in 82 runs. He also had the most heart-warming moment of the season at Busch Stadium, drawing a standing ovation from a packed house for an RBI ground-out in his big-league debut. One Crash Davis who finally made The Show.

• The Redbirds sold a total of 498,362 tickets this season, their average of 7,223 per game ranking fifth in the PCL (behind Sacramento, Round Rock, Albuquerque, and Salt Lake). The ticket total was higher than 2012 (493,706), but still considerably lower than the last pre-recession season of 2008 (569,172).

• As speculation continues about a potential purchase of the Redbirds franchise by the Cardinals, keep your eye on AutoZone Park’s luxury suites (all 44 of them). The suites were originally leased — to local power players like AutoZone, FedEx, and First Tennessee — for 15 years, which means they expire after the 2014 season. With each suite bringing in upwards of $40,000 a year, one of the Redbirds’ largest revenue streams is essentially up for negotiation. You can count on some renovations (flat-screen TVs?) before any renewals are signed. The percentage of those suite renewals — or supplementary income from suite rentals — will determine much about the short- and long-term health of the Memphis Triple-A franchise.

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The Redbird Way

When the St. Louis Cardinals were swept by the Boston Red Sox in the 2004 World Series, exactly one of their everyday players had come up through the Cards’ minor-league system. (He was first baseman Albert Pujols, a diamond in the rough, to say the least.) Fast forward to October 27, 2011. When Allen Craig caught a fly ball off the bat of Texas Ranger David Murphy to clinch the Cardinals’ 11th World Series championship, seven of the nine players on the field at Busch Stadium were farm-raised (and played in Memphis for the Redbirds).

This season, for the first time since the Cardinals’ Triple-A affiliate moved to the Bluff City in 1998, four of the Cardinals’ five starting pitchers on opening day were former Redbirds. (Adam Wainwright, Jaime Garcia, Lance Lynn, and Shelby Miller have combined to win 29 games through Sunday, despite Garcia being on the disabled list since May 19th.)

From Last to First

In 2005, the St. Louis farm system was ranked 30th by Baseball America. (That’s dead last.) As recently as 2010, the system ranked 29th. But now, in 2013? The Cardinals system is ranked first among all major-league clubs.

How has such a large collection of managers, coaches, and players — the Cardinals system features seven minor-league teams — made such a dramatic and positive transition in so short a period of time? The change began, ironically enough, after the Cardinals beat the Detroit Tigers to win the 2006 World Series. That team snuck into the playoffs with an 83-78 record, then played its best baseball of the season in October. But the supporting cast around Pujols — veteran stars such as Jim Edmonds, Scott Rolen, and David Eckstein — had grown old. St. Louis followed up its championship with a dud of a 2007 season (78-84). Edmonds, Rolen, and Eckstein departed and general manager Walt Jocketty was replaced by John Mozeliak. A franchise famous for the first extensive farm system in the game (in the 1920s and 1930s) shifted its core philosophy back to player development.

When the iconic Pujols departed for a 10-year, $254 million contract with the Los Angeles Angels after the 2011 championship season, the Cardinals gave his position to Craig, an 8th-round draft pick in 2006. (Craig was paid $475,000 in 2012 and drove in 92 runs, 13 fewer than Pujols did for the Angels.) When former Cy Young winner Chris Carpenter was forced into retirement by a nerve condition in his pitching arm this spring, the Cardinals gave his spot in the rotation to Miller, the club’s top pick in the 2009 draft. Farm-grown talent is inexpensive (until free agency arrives after six seasons in the majors), but can it keep a proud franchise among pennant contenders one year after another?

John Vuch is the Cardinals’ director of minor-league operations and has been with the franchise since 1979. He relishes the Cardinals’ climb up minor-league rankings but says it starts at the top. “There was somewhat of a philosophical change,” Vuch says, “in terms of taking our lead from the major-league staff and developing continuity — doing the same things in St. Louis, Memphis, Springfield, and all the way down to our Gulf Coast League teams and our Dominican academy. Players go from level to level, and they know what to expect. No surprises. That’s helped a lot.”

The first half of the 2013 season has accentuated the value of the Cardinals’ farm system, as one pitcher after another has either struggled on the mound or been forced to the disabled list by injury. In early May, veterans Mitchell Boggs and Marc Rzepczynski, having been knocked out of the St. Louis bullpen, were demoted and replaced on the Cardinals roster by Seth Maness and Carlos Martinez (a 21-year-old flame-thrower promoted from Double-A Springfield). Maness and Martinez each pitched a scoreless inning in relief of yet another rookie (Shelby Miller) in a May 3rd victory at Milwaukee. Then when veteran Jake Westbrook was forced to the DL with elbow inflammation, John Gast filled the rotation slot and won his first two big-league starts. (Gast opened this season with an astounding 32 consecutive scoreless innings for Memphis.) When Garcia was shut down for the season on May 19th, Tyler Lyons left the Memphis rotation and won his first two starts for the Cardinals, retiring 17 Kansas City Royals in a row on May 28th. Home-run hitters may sell tickets and boost TV ratings, but pitching depth gets teams to October and playoff baseball.

“A few years ago,” Vuch says, “[former Cardinals pitching coach] Dave Duncan wanted us to develop more power pitchers. So we talked to our amateur scouting department and our pitching instructors. It’s one thing to have power arms, but Dunc’s philosophy has always been quality strikes, down in the zone. It’s not so much what type of delivery a pitcher uses, as long as he gets results.”

“The Cardinal Way”

The cover story in the May 27th issue of Sports Illustrated presented the St. Louis Cardinals as Major League Baseball’s model franchise, from the top down. If anyone is familiar with “the Cardinal Way” (as SI put it), it’s Ron (Pop) Warner, the Redbirds’ second-year manager. Warner was drafted by the Cardinals in 1991, played for the original 1998 Memphis Redbirds, and has coached or managed in the Cardinals system since retiring as a player after the 1999 season.

Warner acknowledges talent is the fundamental and most obvious factor in the revival of the Cardinals system. But he points out a less tangible factor that may come closer to revealing a philosophy … or “way.”

“We’re finding players with really good make-up,” Warner says. “If you get high make-up guys, they grind, they compete really hard. When you get guys like that, you find successful people … not just at baseball, but life. Combine that with talent, and you’ve got something. It makes it a lot easier for us to develop players.”

And how exactly can “high make-up” be recognized in a prospect? “It’s tough,” Warner says. “You look into a player’s background and find as much information as you can about them. We’re drafting guys who perform well in college. And usually when a player is performing well in college, there’s a reason: They’re tough, they compete. They may not be the most skilled players, but they figure out how to get it done. High aptitude: They listen, they want to learn and get better. And they actually try to apply what you teach them.”

Warner’s job is to prepare players for the major leagues, whether it’s over several seasons or as an emergency injury replacement. He’s also preparing future Cardinals, emphasizing the details in game-day preparation — that “way” again — that translate into wins at Busch Stadium. Even with the high roster fluctuation, the details have made a difference in Memphis, too, as the Redbirds are leading their division of the Pacific Coast League.

“You show up every day, and you’re a professional on and off the field,” Warner emphasizes. “It’s a privilege to wear this jersey. There’s a lot of history behind wearing the birds on the bat on your chest. We teach through fundamentals. We’ve never tried to find an identity. You make sure the little things that come along in a game are taken care of and play a hard nine innings. If we execute better than the other team, we know we have a chance to win.” Warner notes cases where a player may get “sideways” with his game-day preparation — swings in the batting cage, soft-toss, a baseball player’s grunt work — when he has to step in and remind the player that details matter in the climb up a minor-league ladder.

Three members of the 2013 Redbirds haven’t needed much reminding.

Second to None

For a franchise that has won as consistently as the Cardinals have since 2000, second base has been a remarkably volatile position. Since Fernando Vina went down with a hamstring injury during the 2003 season, St. Louis has turned to the following gaggle of infielders — one of them originally an outfielder — to man the position: Bo Hart, Tony Womack, Mark Grudzielanek, Ronnie Belliard, Aaron Miles, Adam Kennedy, Skip Schumaker, and Dan Descalso. This season, a natural third-baseman — Matt Carpenter — has been learning the less-than-natural art of turning a double play from the right side of the infield. The franchise that gave us Rogers Hornsby and Red Schoendienst has found itself challenged at securing a steady second-baseman.

Along comes Kolten Wong. At 5’9″ and 185 pounds, Wong’s size all but precludes him from playing anywhere except the middle infield. Good thing he plays second base so well. Drafted in the first round by St. Louis in 2011, Wong has already won two championships as a pro, with Class-A Quad Cities (Midwest League) in 2011 and Double-A Springfield (Texas League) in 2012. Wong was a Texas League All-Star last season when he hit .287 and stole 21 bases. According to Baseball America, Wong is the 84th-ranked prospect in all of baseball and tops among second-basemen. The 22-year-old native of Hilo, Hawaii, has hit .321 (through Sunday) for the Redbirds and was named the Cardinals’ minor-league Player of the Month for May.

“Kolten’s better defensively than I thought he would be,” Warner says, “this being just his second full season. Smooth. I thought we’d have to work on turning double plays. He’s pretty polished. His hands work with his feet. And he stays in a good hitting position.” Could Wong be a long-term solution for the Cardinals at a position that’s long been a game of musical chairs? “If he keeps developing the way he has so far,” Warner says, “I see no reason he can’t be that guy someday.”

Wong has fully embraced Cardinals culture, that much-talked-about “way.” He’s relished the wisdom handed down by veteran teammates like Rob Johnson and Brock Peterson, the small tips that paint a big picture for rising prospects. “You know how to win,” Wong says. “You know how to carry yourself and the expectations on the way to St. Louis. You’re constantly trained that this is a winning organization, and nothing less is expected. It’s a mindset, and it rubs off on every player. No shortcuts. Do whatever you need to do to be ready for the next level.”

“He Was Raised Right”

Redbirds pitching coach Bryan Eversgerd was raving about Michael Wacha before the big righty threw his first Triple-A pitch, and it really didn’t have much to do with his arm. “You can tell he was raised right,” said Eversgerd in early April. “He’s got his head on straight. So mature, great in the clubhouse.”

Drafted by the Cardinals in the first round of the 2012 draft after a stellar college career at Texas A&M, Wacha caught the parent club’s attention this spring when he did not allow an earned run in 11 spring-training innings. He was leading the Pacific Coast League with an ERA of 2.05 (nine starts) on May 30th when he was summoned to St. Louis to fill the rotation spot vacated when Gast was sidelined with shoulder discomfort. Wacha somehow met the hyped anticipation in his debut, holding Kansas City to two hits over seven innings. (The Cardinals’ bullpen allowed three runs in the ninth to cost Wacha the win.)

During spring training, one veteran umpire described Wacha’s changeup as the best he’d ever seen. (Disclosure: The umpire was Angel Hernandez, now infamous for having missed a home-run call this season, even after the help of video review.) As impressive as his pitching arsenal may be, Wacha’s maturity and comportment on the mound have caught the most attention throughout the Cardinals system. (Wacha turns 22 on July 1st.)

Warner describes a game earlier this season when Wacha pitched against a PCL team that liked to run early in the count. They had a conversation before the game about the importance of the pitcher holding his stretch position a bit longer to disrupt timing and stall those baserunners. By pausing in his stretch and extending glances, Wacha proceeded to shut down that running game in a Memphis win.

“When you talk to him, he looks you in the eyes,” Warner says. “He’s listening to you. That’s something I always look for in a young player. Most guys, when a game heats up, they’ll start worrying about the situation at hand. But [Wacha] can slow things down. He doesn’t scare at all. It’s one of the keys to this game.”

The Prodigy

The most common comparison is with Vladimir Guerrero, the Hall of Fame-bound outfielder who hit .318 with 449 home runs, 181 stolen bases, and nine All-Star Game appearances over 16 major-league seasons, primarily with the Montreal Expos and Los Angeles Angels. Like Guerrero, Oscar Taveras hails from the Dominican Republic and, like Guerrero, Taveras has displayed — in bold fashion — a batter’s most revered skill: putting the thick part of the bat on the baseball, wherever the ball is pitched. Connect with the ball on a bat’s “sweet spot,” and good things tend to happen.

“Oscar can hit an assortment of pitches,” Warner says, “and they don’t have to be strikes. But he can hit them. At some point, he’ll have to shrink [that strike zone] some. But we don’t want to take away that talent of his: centering pitches that other hitters simply can’t.”

Taveras is the third-ranked prospect in minor-league baseball, according to Baseball America. Since 1990, he’s only the third non-pitcher in the Cardinals system to be ranked so highly (J.D. Drew was number one in 1999, Colby Rasmus number three in 2009). Taveras does Wong one better with three pro championships to his credit (he helped Johnson City to the Appalachian League title in 2010). He was named Texas League Player of the Year for Springfield in 2012, when he led the circuit in batting (.321) while hitting 23 homers and driving in 94 runs (in 124 games). The only thing keeping him out of the St. Louis outfield this season is sensitivity to his young age (Taveras turns 21 on June 19th) and his “free agency clock” (the earlier a player starts his major-league career, the earlier he’ll be eligible for the fat contract of a bidding war between teams).

Taveras recently missed almost a month of action with a lingering right-ankle injury, so his numbers — .315 batting average, four homers, and 20 RBIs — aren’t what Cardinals fans might have expected. No matter. As so many young players have shown after recent stints (long or short) at AutoZone Park, it’s the numbers produced with two birds on their jersey that will be long remembered.