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Study: Upward Mobility Tougher in Tennessee and Memphis

Courtesy of CodeCrew

Students practice computer coding with CodeCrew.

It’s tough for Tennessee kids to earn more money than their parents. In Memphis, upward mobility depends a lot on your race and what neighborhood in which you grow up.

Those are some key findings from a new report called Economic Opportunity and Upward Mobility in Tennessee issued Friday from the Sycamore Institute, a Nashville-based public policy research center. Much of the research was done by Dr. Raj Chetty and others from Opportunity Insights, a Harvard-University-based think tank focused on the economy.

The top line from the Tennessee study: “Children from Tennessee are less likely than kids from similar families nationwide to move up the economic ladder from their parents in adulthood.”

The Sycamore Institute

The shot at upward mobility across the country has dropped a lot since 1940. Then, the share of children earning more than their parents was 90 percent. Today, it’s less than 50 percent.

In Tennessee, the shot at economic mobility varies across the state. But not that much, research said. Counties in Middle Tennessee had the highest rates of upward economic mobility. But its average advantage over the rest of the state was just one percentage point. The study found there was also little difference in rural and urban counties when it came to upward mobility trends here. But there were differences.

The Sycamore Institute

The Sycamore Institute

Some neighborhoods offer much better prospects than others, reads the study. The best places for upward mobility tend to have higher socioeconomic status, more married parents, and high employment rates — regardless of circumstances in a child’s own home. Also, Black and white children from the same neighborhoods and income levels often have very different rates of upward mobility.

This is plain when you look at data in Memphis. The study analyzed the chances for upward mobility of children living in Midtown and North Memphis. The differences were stark.

The Sycamore Institute

“A child who grew up in a low-income home in Midtown [Memphis] had about a 16 percent chance of becoming a high-income adult,” reads the study. “One mile away in North Memphis, a low-income child had less than a 1 percent chance. The odds of moving from middle- to high-income were 19 percent for kids from Midtown and less than 1 percent for those from North Memphis.”

The Sycamore Institute

”Whether or not a child’s own parents are married, their prospects for moving up the economic ladder improve when they live in neighborhoods with more married couple families and fewer single parent families,” the study said. “Regardless of wage levels, neighborhoods where more people are employed tend to produce better economic outcomes for their children. While job availability within the local labor market matters, the availability of jobs in the immediate neighborhood seems to have little impact.”

Black and white children have very different rates of upward mobility in Tennessee and Memphis. The probability of a white child in Midtown making more money than their parents is 22 percent, according to the study. A Black child in Midtown has about an 8 percent chance of upward mobility. Researchers could not predict upward mobility chances for a white kid in North Memphis but said Black children there have a shot that’s only greater than 1 percent.

The Sycamore Institute

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News News Blog

Disturbance on Ole Miss Campus After Obama Victory

Amid last night’s post-election social media storm, Facebook and Twitter buzzed with news that “riots” had broken out on the University of Mississippi campus over Barack Obama’s re-election. Reports spread of hundreds of students collecting on campus, yelling racial epithets, and burning Obama/Biden signs. There were also rumors of rocks being thrown and pepper spray being used to disperse the crowd.

Ole Miss student burns an Obama/Biden lawn sign

  • Ole Miss student burns an Obama/Biden lawn sign

A grainy video was taken, showing students milling about, cop cars patrolling, students singing the Ole Miss fight song school cheer, “Hotty Toddy,” and police telling a student, wrapped in an American flag and riding in the back of a pickup truck, to sit down. Another photo then emerged of a student, who identified himself on Twitter as Brandon Adams, setting an Obama lawn sign on fire.

The University of Mississippi has responded that the events were “fueled by social media, and the conversation should have stayed there.”

According to University of Mississippi Chancellor Dan Jones, police officers were alerted of “Twitter chatter” among students inciting a protest of the presidential election results at the student union. When police arrived they found around 40 students gathered in front of the union. Within 20 minutes the gathering had grown to more than 400 students. The crowd of students chanting political slogans was dispersed by university police. Shortly thereafter, around 100 students gathered at a residence hall. University police broke up the gathering and made two arrests — “for disorderly conduct, including one for public intoxication and one for failure to comply with police orders.”

Chancellor Jones has expressed that some of the incidents reported on social media outlets were less than accurate:

“Unfortunately, early news reports quoted social media comments that were inaccurate. Too, some photographs published in social media portrayed events that police did not observe on campus. Nevertheless, the reports of uncivil language and shouted racial epithets appear to be accurate and are universally condemned by the university, student leaders and the vast majority of students who are more representative of our university creed.”

For now, the administration says it will conduct “a thorough review of this incident to determine the facts and any follow-up actions that may be necessary.”

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Politics Politics Feature

POLITICS: New Mayor, New Council?

Naming “crime, cronyism, and corruption” as major issues in
this year’s mayoral election, candidate Carol Chumney addressed the
Germantown Democratic Club Monday night, pledging if elected to “get a good
team” in order to bring renewed efficiency to Memphis city government.

Subsequently, city council member Chumney fielded at least
two questions from the membership (which includes several Memphis voters who
live in Cordova) about her reported difficulties with the mayor’s office and
fellow council members.

One member asked: What about her “relation building” and
“leadership style”? Would these be obstacles?

Chumney responded that she had developed good relations
with fellow legislators while a state House member for 13 years and said, “City
government has been a little different because there’s been quite frankly some
corruption. Many times I would be the only one who would stand up and say
anything. Some folks are going to get mad at you. I’m a strong leader, I will
tell you that.”

When another member followed that up by asking if the city
council would back her proposals if she were elected mayor, Chumney said, “We’re
going to elect a new city council.” Noting the virtual turnover of membership in
the county commission in last year’s elections, she expressed confidence that
city voters would follow suit. “It’s going to happen here. They’re going to vote
and vote in a new team.”

Pledging to renew cooperation between city and county
law-enforcement teams, Chumney said, “It’s disrespectful to expect the police to
go two years without a pay raise while asking them to risk their lives for us.”

She repeated her objections to Riverfront Development
Corporation proposals, including the recently approved Beale St. Landing
project, and called both for the city’s retention of The Coliseum and for
“something classy” in the downtown Pyramid.

Chumney said she’d heard “disturbing rumors” about the past
management of Memphis Networx and reported plans for its pending sale and
promised “to get to the bottom of it.” She said the council’s authority over a
prospective sale was uncertain but said she was seeking authoritative word on
that from the state Attorney General’s office.

  • Germantown is becoming an important campaign venue for
    candidates running for office in adjacent Memphis. A week or so earlier members
    of the Republican Women of Purpose organization heard a presentation at the
    Germantown Public Library from Brian Stephens, city council candidate in
    District 2, the East Memphis-suburban seat being vacated by incumbent Brent
    Taylor

    Stephens has been active in an effort to strengthen laws
    regulating sexually oriented businesses (S.O.B.’s in the accepted jargon) and
    specifically to make sure that veteran topless-club entrepreneur Steve Cooper
    does not convert a supposed “Italian restaurant” now under construction in
    Cordova into an S.O.B.

    He discussed those efforts but offered other opinions as
    well, some of them surprising – a statement that “consolidation is coming,
    whether we like it or not,” for example – and some not, like his conviction (a
    la Taylor) that tax increases are not necessary for the city to maintain and
    improve basic services.

    In general, Stephens, who seems to have a head start on
    other potential District 2 aspirants, made an effort to sound accommodationist
    rather than confrontational, stressing a need for council members to transcend
    racial and urban-vs.-suburban divisions and expressing confidence in the ability
    of currently employed school personnel to solve the system’s problems.

  • Also
    establishing an apparent early lead over potential rivals is current school
    board member Stephanie Gatewood, running for the District 1 council seat
    being vacated by incumbent E.C. Jones. Gatewood’s fundraiser at the Fresh
    Slices restaurant on Overton Park last Thursday night drew a respectable crowd,
    and her membership in Bellevue Baptist Church on the suburban side of District 1
    provides an anchor in addition to an expected degree of support from the
    district’s African-American population.

  • One night
    earlier, Wednesday night, had been a hot one for local politics, with three
    more-than-usually significant events, and there were any number of dedicated
    and/or well-heeled visitors to all three:

    –Residents of the posh
    Galloway Drive area where U of M basketball coach John Calipari resides
    are surely used to long queues of late-model vehicles stretching every which way
    in the neighborhood, especially in election season when Calipari’s home is
    frequently the site of fundraisers for this or that candidate.

    But Wednesday night’s event, a $250-a-head fundraiser for District 5 city
    council candidate Jim Strickland, was surely a record-setter –
    out-rivaling not only Calipari’s prior events but most other such gatherings in
    Memphis history, including those for senatorial and gubernatorial candidates. A
    politically diverse crowd estimated at 300 to 500 people showed up, netting
    Strickland more than $60,000 for the night and bringing his total “cash on hand”
    to $100,000.

    –Meanwhile, mayoral candidate Herman Morris attracted
    several hundred attendees to the formal opening of his sprawling, high-tech
    campaign headquarters on Union Avenue – the same HQ that, week before last,
    suffered a burglary – of computers containing sensitive information, for one
    thing – a fact that some Morris supporters find suspicious in light of various
    other instances of hanky-panky currently being alleged in the mayoral race.

    — Yet a a third major political gathering took place Wednesday night, as Shelby
    County Mayor A C Wharton was the beneficiary of a big-ticket fundraiser
    at The Racquet Club. Proceeds of that one have been estimated in the $50,000
    range – a tidy sum for what the county mayor alleges (and alleged again
    Wednesday night) is intended only as a kind of convenience fund, meant for
    charitable donations and various other protocol circumstances expected of
    someone in his position.

    Right. Meanwhile, Wharton declined to address the most widely speculated-upon
    subject in Memphis politics: Will he or won’t he enter the city mayor’s race? As
    everybody knows, and as the county mayor has informally acknowledged, he is the
    subject these days of non-stop blandishments in that regard, and there’s very
    little doubt that these have accelerated since a dramatic recent press
    conference by Memphis Mayor Willie Herenton alleging “the 2007 Political
    Conspiracy.”

    While some of
    Mayor Wharton’s intimates at the Wednesday night affair were keeping to the line
    that the chances of his running for city mayor were minimal to non-existent,
    their answers to inquiries about the matter were delivered after what we’ll call
    meaningfully inflected pauses. The door may be shut for now, but it clearly
    isn’t padlocked.

    jb

    Chumney in Germantown

  • NASHVILLE
    — The name of McWherter, prominent in Tennessee politics for most of the latter
    20th century, will apparently resurface in fairly short order, as Jackson lawyer
    and businessman Mike McWherter, son of two-term former governor Ned
    McWherter
    , is making clear his plans to challenge U.S. Senator Lamar
    Alexander
    ‘s reelection bid next year.

    Apparently only one thing could derail Democrat McWherter — a renewed Senate
    candidacy by former Memphis congressman Harold Ford Jr., who last year
    narrowly — lost a Senate race to the current Republican incumbent, Bob
    Corker
    . “I don’t think I would compete against Harold. But I don’t think he
    will run,” McWherter said in an interview with The Flyer at Saturday’s
    annual Jefferson-Jackson Day Dinner in Nashville.

    The 52-year-old activist sees Alexander as a slavish follower of President
    George W. Bush.

    “With one or two exceptions, he’s done everything the president has wanted him
    to do. He’s toed the party line,” said McWherter, who has recently paid courtesy
    calls on ranking Democrats, both in Tennessee and in Washington, D.C., informing
    them of his interest in running next year and soliciting their support.

  • Keynote speaker
    at the Democrats’ dinner in Nashville was presidential hopeful Bill
    Richardson
    , whose situation somewhat paralleled that of former Massachusetts
    governor Mitt Romney, who earlier this month had been the featured
    speaker at the state Republicans’ Statesmen’s Dinner, also in Nashville.

    On that occasion, Romney – who had been invited before the entrance of former
    Tennessee senator Fred Thompson became likely – was a de facto lame-duck
    keynoter, and, mindful of the attendees’ expected loyalty to favorite-son
    Thompson, cracked wanly, “I know
    there’s been some speculation by folks about a certain former senator from
    Tennessee getting into the presidential race, and I know everybody’s waiting,
    wondering. But I take great comfort from the fact than no one in this room, not
    a single person, is going to be voting for — Al Gore.”

    That bit of verbal bait-and-switch got the expected laugh, and so did a joke
    Saturday night by New Mexico governor Richardson, who uttered some ritual praise
    of native Tennessean and former presidential candidate Gore and then, when the
    crowd warmly applauded the former vice president, jested, “Let’s not overdo it.
    I don’t want him in this race!”

    jb

  • Categories
    Politics Politics Feature

    POLITICS: Looking Back

  • Remembering
    Ernest Withers

    One of the great serendipities I’ve experienced as a
    journalist was the decision by former Memphis Magazine
    editor Tim Sampson back in 1993, on the 25th anniversary of
    the death in Memphis of Dr. Martin Luther King, to use as the centerpiece
    of an anniversary issue an archival piece of mine, along with pictures by the
    great photographer Ernest Withers.

    Uncannily often, Withers’ photographs directly illustrated
    specific scenes of my narrative, which had been written originally on the day
    after the assassination and concerned the events of that traumatic day. It was a
    little like being partnered with Michelangelo, and I was more than grateful.

    The publication of that issue led to an invitation from
    Beale Street impresario John Elkington for Withers and me to collaborate
    on a book having to do with the history of Beale Street, and the two of us
    subsequently spent a good deal of time going through the treasure trove that was
    Withers’ photographic inventory.

    For various reasons, most of them having to do with
    funding, the book as envisioned never came to pass (though years later Elkington
    published a similar volume), but the experience led to an enduring friendship.

    One day, when I was having car trouble, Ernest gave me a
    ride home, from downtown to Parkway Village, the still predominantly white area
    where I was living at the time, just beginning a demographic changeover. At the
    time it appeared as though it might become a success of bi-racial living, and we
    talked for some time about that prospect.

    That very evening, Ernest was a panelist on the old WKNO
    show, Informed Sources, and, instead of focusing on the subject at hand,
    whatever it was, chose to discourse at length on the sociology of Parkway
    Village. Watching at home, I was delighted – though the host and other
    panelists, intent on discussing another subject, one of those pro-forma
    public-affairs things, may not have been.

    They should have been. This was the man, remember, who
    documented the glory and the grief of our city and our land as both passed from
    one age into another, which was required to be its diametrical opposite, no
    less. Ernest saw what was happening in Parkway Village as a possible trope for
    that, and whatever he had to say about it needed to be listened to.

    Sadly, of course, the neighborhood in question was not able
    to maintain the blissfully integrated status that Ernest Withers, an eternally
    hopeful one despite his ever-realistic eye, imagined for it.

    As various eulogists have noted, last week and this,
    Withers not only chronicled the civil rights era but the local African-American
    sportscape and the teeming music scene emanating from, an influenced by black
    Memphians.

    He was also, as we noted editorially last week, a family
    man, and it had to be enormously difficult for him that, in the course of a
    single calendar year while he was in his 70s (he was 85 at the time of his
    death), he buried three of his own children.

    Among my souvenirs is a photograph I arranged to have taken
    of Ernest Withers with my youngest son Justin and my daughter-in-law
    Ellen
    , both residents of Atlanta, on an occasion when they were visiting
    Memphis a few years back. Happy as they were with the memento, the younger
    Bakers expressed something of a reservation.

    What they’d really wanted, explained Ellen, a museum
    curator who was even then, in fact, planning for a forthcoming Withers exhibit
    in Atlanta, was a picture of the two of them taken by the master.

    Silly of me not to have realized that. To be in a picture
    by Ernest Withers was to become part of history – a favor he bestowed on legions
    of struggling ordinary folk as well on the high and mighty of our time.

  • Remembering Kenneth Whalum Sr.

    There was a time, before Mayor Willie Herenton became the
    acknowledged alternative within the black community to the Ford family’s
    dominance, that councilman Kenneth Whalum was a recognized third force to reckon
    with.

    jb

    The Rudy Williams Band led Ernest Withers’ funeral procession down Beale on Saturday.

    Rev. Whalum was both the influential pastor of Olivet
    Baptist Church in the sprawling mid-city community of Orange Mound and the
    former personnel director of the U.S. Postal Service, locally. In effect, he had a foot planted
    firmly in each of the two spheres that make up the Memphis political community.

    That fact made him a natural for the city council during
    the period of the late ’80s and early ’90s when the era of white dominance was
    passing and that of African-American control was dawning.

    During the 1991 council election, Whalum, along with Myron
    Lowery, achieved milestones as important in their way as was Herenton’s mayoral
    victory, taking out long-serving at-large white incumbents Oscar Edmunds and
    Andy Alissandratos, respectively.

    Whalum was uniquely able to serve both as a sounding board
    for black aspirations and a bridge between races and factions on the council. He
    was a moderate by nature, though sometimes his preacherly passions got the best
    of him and he sounded otherwise. Something like that happened during a couple of
    incendiary sermons he preached during the interregnum between the pivotal
    mayor’s race of 1991 and Herenton’s taking the oath in January 1992 as Memphis’
    first elected black mayor.

    Word of that got to me, and I was able to acquire a
    recording of one of the incriminating sermons. I had no choice but to report on
    it, and – what to say? – it made a bit of a sensation at the time, no doubt
    limiting Whalum’s immediate political horizons somewhat.

    It certainly limited the contacts I would have, again in
    the short term, with a political figure that I had previously had a good
    confidential relationship with. Whalum’s sense of essential even-handedness
    eventually prevailed, however, and we ultimately got back on an even keel.

    To my mind, in any case, Whalum’s outspokenness never
    obscured his essential fair-mindedness, and his occasional prickliness was more
    than offset by his genuine – and sometimes robust – good humor.

    There are many ways of judging someone’s impact on society,
    and one might certainly be the prominence of one’s offspring. In Rev. Whalum’s
    case they included the highly-regarded jazz saxophonist Kirk Whalum and the
    councilman-minister’s namesake son Kenneth Whalum Jr., a school board member and
    an innovative pastor himself — so innovative in his wide-open 21st-century
    style as to cause a generational schism involving Olivet church members. That
    would result in two distinct churches, one led by the senior Whalum, one by
    Whalum Jr.

    Kenneth Whalum Sr. had been something of a forgotten man in
    local politics since leaving the council at the end of 1995 (he would also run
    losing races for both city and county mayor). But he got his hand back in
    briefly during last year’s 9th District congressional race, making a
    point of endorsing Democratic nominee Steve Cohen, who ultimately prevailed.

    Appropriately, Rep. Cohen took the lead, along with Senator
    Lamar Alexander, on behalf of a congressional resolution re-designating the
    South 3rd Street Post Office in honor of Whalum, closing a cycle of
    sorts and forever attaching the name of Kenneth T. Whalum Sr. to one of the
    city’s landmarks.

  • Political Notes:

    Kenneth Whalum Sr.

    –Congressman Cohen was the target recently of what many local Memphians report on
    as a “push” poll taken by random telephone calls to residents of the 9th
    District. Purportedly the poll contained numerous statements casting Cohen in a
    negative light before asking recipients who they might prefer in a 2008 race
    between him and repeat challenger Nikki Tinker.

    (At least one person called recalled that the name of
    Cohen’s congressional predecessor, Harold Ford Jr., now head of the
    Democratic Leadership Council, figured in a triad of potential candidates being
    asked about.)

    –Early voting is now underway in the four city council
    runoffs that will be determined on November 8th.

    Those involve Stephanie Gatewood vs. Bill
    Morrison
    in District 1; Brian Stephens vs. Bill Boyd in
    District 2; Harold Collins vs. Ike Griffith in District 3; and
    Edmund Ford Jr
    . and James O. Catchings in District 6.

  • Categories
    Opinion Viewpoint

    Words Heard Differently

    George Bernard Shaw said England and America were two countries separated by a common language. I say that white and black Americans are in a similar fix. Statements that one side considers innocuous, the other can consider offensive. Things have gotten to the point where Bill Clinton, a president once adored by African Americans, is being accused of making racially insensitive statements. Shaw would understand. It’s not necessarily what was said, it’s the way it was heard.

    To my (racially) tin ear, little that either Bill or Hillary Clinton has said this election season sounded ugly. These included the remarks that seemed to have started it all: Hillary Clinton’s banal observation that for all that Martin Luther King Jr. did, it took Lyndon Johnson’s presidency to enact a monumental civil rights law. The context was clearly her contention that despite Barack Obama’s soaring rhetoric, it takes good old experience (like hers) to get the job done. Who could possibly object to that?

    Lots of people, it turned out, many of them African-American. Obama himself called the remark “unfortunate.” My own ears heard nothing untoward, and when I mentioned that to an African-American colleague, he said, to my utter surprise, that he initially took the remark as a swipe at King. I was flabbergasted. Who would take a swipe at King? A Democratic presidential candidate would have to be criminally insane to do such a thing.

    It hardly seemed possible, but things went downhill from there. Bill Clinton suggested that Obama’s victory in South Carolina was akin to Jesse Jackson’s, lo these many years ago. Kapow! — as they used to say in the comic books. Again, allegations of insensitivity or racial provocation. I confess I heard something different, but this time I appreciated the complaint — an alleged attempt to racially pigeonhole Obama. The former president may have meant no such thing, but in Obamaland, Bill Clinton is widely believed to always know precisely what he is saying — too cunning a politician not to always know the impact of his words. Maybe so, but his recent record of bloopers, errors, and rhetorical pratfalls suggests otherwise.

    The grievance concerning Bill Clinton was enunciated last week by Representative James Clyburn (D-S.C.), a senior African-American legislator not known for extremist statements. He called Clinton’s remarks “bizarre” and said that even back in January, he “thought the president was saying things that would anger black voters and he should chill out.”

    What Clyburn might be suggesting is not that Clinton himself had picked up some racist bug but that, like some sort of political Typhoid Mary, he was spreading a disease to which he himself is immune.

    This is what is believed by adherents of the Clintons-will-do-anything-to-win school of thought. I have some doubts. The Clintons will do almost anything but not something that will stain their immortal political soul. They have to know that running a racially tinged campaign would give both of them a historical asterisk that would dog them into posterity. Years ago, Georgetown University linguist Deborah Tannen wrote a bestseller, You Just Don’t Understand: Women and Men in Conversation. Its thesis was that men and women employ the same language but, somehow, hear it differently.

    What is true for men and women is just as true for blacks and whites and, probably, minorities of all kinds. (Recall the Woody Allen character in Annie Hall who mishears the word “Jew” when a passerby is saying, “Did you?”) The Rev. Jeremiah Wright, Obama’s former pastor, seemed to make precisely that point in his speech to the NAACP in Detroit. “The black religious tradition is different,” he said. “We do it a different way.” That “way,” as he now knows, made for an awful sound bite.

    Barring some unforeseen event, Barack Obama will be the nominee of the Democratic Party. That being the case — and also as long as the nomination fight continues — race will be an issue, stated or not, in the presidential campaign. For that reason, it’s incumbent on Clinton, Obama, and, of course, John McCain to not only watch their language but — maybe more important — to watch their reaction to the language of others. We could be on the verge of a great moment of racial acceptance. It sometimes seems that only our common language stands in the way.

    Richard Cohen writes for the Washington Post Writers Group.

    Categories
    Politics Politics Feature

    MAD AS HELL: Political U-Turns in New Hampshire, GPS-Style

    MANCHESTER, N.H. –No doubt, the Global Positioning
    System is one of the greatest inventions to come along in a long time. That
    voice that tells us to turn left, right, and pull a U-turn is so reassuring.
    Last night, I would have been as lost as a little lamb in New Hampshire snow
    without it. Driving the highway from Nashua to Manchester seemed less
    stressful knowing that a satellite signal in the sky had figured out a way to
    keep me from getting lost by keeping me on the right path to my destination.

    The double header debate on the campus of St. Anselm
    College gave voters a chance to hear the candidates from both parties. It was
    cold and snow was piled two feet high, but inside the Dana Center for the
    Humanities, the candidates were getting hot. In this state, whose motto is
    Live Free or Die, it’s do or die for Mitt Romney and Hillary Clinton.

    Clearly, not only Governor Romney and Senator Clinton but
    all the candidates have become hyper- aware of a new fact since the Iowa
    Caucus. A new word, the word, has emerged like a bull’s-eye on the
    elective radar: change. Folks in New Hampshire are using a kind of political
    GPS to determine which candidate will make the quickest U-turn on the policies
    and actions of the last seven years. Most want a change in almost every
    policy and aspect of government, both foreign and domestic. Tina, the 20 year
    old student/waitress at Chili’s Restaurant in Nashua summed it up this way,
    “I’m not sure who I am voting for yet, but I am looking for the one who is
    going to pull a fast 180.”

    But before the primary, the people here will have to
    navigate through something else: a monster spin machine. After the debates
    last night, the spinning was so full tilt, it felt like I was watching a
    broken down Maytag with too many towels. Every candidate had a spin-doctor and
    the stampede of cameras, recorders, mikes, and lights was like the stampeding
    buffalo scene in Dances with Wolves.

    Elizabeth Edwards entered the room looking energized as
    she passionately discussed her husband’s debate performance. She predictably
    claimed he had hit a home run and emphasized his “you cannot ‘nice’ people to
    death” comment, an obvious jab at the call of both Obama and Richardson for
    dialogue with Pakistan’s Musharraf and other leaders in the Middle East.
    Assisting her was former Michigan congressman David Bonior, who pointed out
    Edwards’ debate commitment to end all combat missions in Iraq and to close all
    bases there in the first year of his presidency. Joe Trippi, former manager
    of the Howard Dean campaign, was putting additional frosting on the Edwards
    cake by claiming Edwards would definitely carry the day on Tuesday.

    Senator Obama had his own spin game going through the
    medium of campaign strategist David Axelrod, who immediately declared Obama to
    be the clear winner and forecast a sunnier outcome in the New Hampshire
    primary for this candidate than the win last week in Iowa.

    The room was also filled to the rafters with heavy
    hitters such as Joe Scarborough, Joe Klein, Bay Buchanan, and Jeff Greenfield,
    each trying to out-spin and out-opinionate the other. This went on for well
    over an hour, at which time the media fanned out to various networks and local
    stations to broadcast their latest chestnuts

    In a little over 24 hours, the good people of the Granite
    State have got their work cut out for them. The die is cast and the call for a
    change in direction is resonating loud and clearly. For now, we can only
    speculate on whose voice we might be hearing when the nation turns on its
    political Tom Tom in November.

    Categories
    Politics Politics Feature

    Elective Affinities: Southern Hopefuls Huckabee and Thompson

    IN TRANSIT FROM DES MOINES TO MANCHESTER –On their last day of campaigning for the Iowa caucuses and with the New Hampshire and South Carolina tests looming, the
    two bona fide Southern hopefuls in the Republican presidential field had
    personas that meshed in important particulars and diverged in others.

    Ditto with their destinies: Former Arkansas governor Mike
    Huckabee famously finished first in GOP ranks, while ex-Tennessee senator Fred
    Thompson managed a distant third. That’s the divergence; the mesh is that
    neither is out of the woods, but both are still in the game.

    No sooner had Huckabee finished off his up-from-nothing
    miracle in Iowa than such bell cows of the Christian right as Richard Viguerie
    were trying to disown him. Not for doctrinal heresies of the religious sort but
    for deviation from the tax-cutting priorities of the Republican Party elite.
    Viguerie, who a generation ago assisted greatly in fusing the social and
    economic conservatisms of the Reagan era, essentially accused Huckabee – an
    economic populist who dares to assail “Wall Street Republicans” — of sawing off
    the economic leg of that coalition.

    This refrain was promptly parroted by that cockatee of the
    airwaves, Rush Limbaugh – prompting a brief back-and-forth between himself and
    the candidate, who, unlike so many other name Republicans, doesn’t mind pulling
    on such feathers.

    Huckabee is a threat to an established order, and, just as
    establishment Democrats, assisted by the establishment media, were able to kill
    off Howard Dean’s hopes in 2004, so might the GOP hierarchy do likewise to those
    of the Republican heresiarch – his first-place finish in Iowa notwithstanding.

    As for Thompson, the line on him for several months has
    been that the actor/politician from Tennessee had fallen way short of the
    enormous ballyhoo of his advance billing and long ago flunked his audition.

    Indeed, Thompson has played the role assigned him every way
    but right. He has looked haggard, fumbled his lines, and done everything a
    starring player shouldn’t. Coming from the same moderate tradition (and stable)
    as fellow Tennessee Republicans Howard Baker and Lamar Alexander, he was billed
    as a conservative’s conservative – the kind who could put to rest the fears of
    Viguerie and Limbaugh and suchlike who see George W. Bush’s house of cards – and
    thereby the party’s generational dominance of American affairs – hopelessly
    aquiver.

    However late in the day, Thompson has seemingly found his
    motivation for such a role and learned to play it. That was the conclusion one
    could draw from the barn-burner he delivered to a packed room at the West Des
    Moines Marriott on Thursday morning, the day of the caucuses. So strong a
    showing it was, so animated the reception from his audience that it seemed
    obvious that Thompson, like one of those Miss America alternates, was a
    potential standby in case of trouble with the GOP frontrunner.

    Any frontrunner – be it Huckabee or the resurgent
    John McCain or Mitt Romney or Rudy Giuliani or whoever. All he had to do was
    survive by fnishing third in Iowa – which, by the skin of those thespian
    pearly-whites, he did.

    As if in recognition of their doppelganger status, both men
    ended their appeals to voters in Iowa with overlapping thematics: “

    Thompson: “This is a country where a country boy or
    girl in Tennessee or Iowa or anywhere else can grow up and have a pretty good
    chance at the American dream.

    Huckabee: “If American can elect me as president, if
    means that the dreams of this country can come true for anybody.

    Thompson: “I’ve got a 100-percent pro-life voting
    record. I’ve always been pro-life. That’s why so many right-to-life
    organizations have endorsed me.

    Huckabee: “I’m pro-life. It’s not a position that
    the pollsters gave me last week. I’ve been saying this all my life. Check me
    out. I’m not pro-life because I’m political. I’m political because I’m
    pro-life.”

    Thompson: “What you see is what you get I don’t
    think I’ve ever been accused of flip-flopping or choosing my positions on issues
    to win an election.”

    Huckabee: “You need to believe that someone is
    telling you the truth, who’ll be honest with you We need a president who
    believes something and will do what he believes.”

    Thompson: “Our best days are still before us.”

    Huckabee: “I want the best generation to be then one
    that hasn’t been born yet”

    Thompson: “We need to unite as Republicans and reach
    out and get some independents and Reagan Democrats.”

    Huckabee: “We need to have [with us] not just a
    Republican Party but we need a country.”

    Thompson:Tonight is important…We’ve got to show them Let’s go out and shock
    the world.

    Huckabee: Tonight we can make a statement heard all
    over the world. Your grandchildren will be saying, were you there that
    night that guy nobody had ever heard of won the presidency?

    And in fact: If Thompson recovers from his long limbo in
    the presidential race and becomes his party’s candidate of last resort, he will
    indeed shock the world. For that matter, if Huckabee can continue riding
    his current star and build on his triumph in Iowa to be the nominee, that outcome,
    too, will resound all over the world.

    To repeat: There are differences between the men and differences
    between the candidacies. That is the very point. Only one of them could have said this on
    Thursday: “The big-government, left-wing, high-taxes, weak-on-security
    Democratic Party is just salivating about taking the reins and the power just so
    they can kinda roll to a welfare state. And we’re not going to let that happen”

    That was Thompson the D.A., of course, heaping on the red meat, knowing what
    his role is now. Huckabee, the ex-preacher, is smoother, milder, in a curious way genuinely ecumencial. When he jammed with a local rock band in Hennick on his first
    day in New Hampshire after the Iowa vote, he ended up playing bass with evident gusto on “Put a
    Little Love in Your Heart” and even on the old to-the-barricades stomper from Creedence, “Fortunate Son.”
    He, too, knows what his role is.

    Watching what happens to either of them from now on is
    going to be good theater.

    (Flyer political editor Jackson Baker, having followed the presidential-campaign circus out of Iowa, continues his reporting from New Hampshire for the next few days.)

    Categories
    Politics Politics Feature

    Smashing Victories by “Unorthodox” Candidates Obama and Huckabee

    DES MOINES, IA –“They’re all a bunch of goops,” said the
    check-out lady at QuikTrip [sic], the Interstate 80 truck stop that doubles as a
    passing-good deli. Meaning politicians. And someone suggested to her that this
    was exactly why Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mike Huckabee had just won
    their party’s caucuses in Iowa so handily.

    Neither is the same old goop. A mixed-marriage
    son of Kenya and Kansas on the one hand. A Baptist preacher with a yen for
    populist economics on the other. Each articulate to a preternatural degree.
    Each appealing, both overtly and by their very beings, to the political
    crossover vote. Each defeating his main opponent by the margin of 9 percent.

    Each an example of the improbable proving
    inevitable, in victor Obama’s phrase.

    “We are one nation. We are one people. And our
    time for change has come,” the Democratic victor said, in a speech that touched
    so many bases and was said so well that it put to shame his 2004 convention
    speech – the one that put the then new senator from Illinois on the map.

    Yes, Obama won the “youth” vote
    — .57 percent of the under-30’s – and Huckabee got the evangelicals – 45
    percent of a base that, in Iowa, amounted to 60 percent of caucus-goers overall.
    But both are – how to say it? – bigger than that. And each made a point of
    talking up inclusiveness as the foundation of their Iowa victories and of the
    election to come and the political era that comes after it.

    To be sure, Hillary Clinton has
    too deep a war chest and too deep a bench, organizationally, to bow out. One
    remembers longtime Clinton retainer James Carville’s cry when the Monica
    Lewinsky scandal threatened to overwhelm Bill Clinton’s presidency: “This is wah!”
    he shouted out in full South Loos-iana Cajunese. Whereupon he – and the Clintons – fetched up the ordnance to win
    that war.

    Hillary will try again. But,
    beyond the fact that she’s up against a man who could be a generational
    phenomenon, she has also to contend with the second-place finisher in the
    Democratic race, former senator John Edwards, who has so unabashedly talked about “corporate greed” and promised
    what Republicans like to call “class war.”

    “On to New Hampshire,” vowed
    Edwards to a turnaway crowd at the Renaissance-Savery Hotel in downtown Des
    Moines. And what that meant was spelled out afterward by the candidate’s chief
    economic-policy advisor, Leo Hindery: “We beat the Clinton machine. And we’ll
    beat it again,” he said. No mention of Obama.

    And Huckabee had left no doubt in
    the last few days of campaigning, nor in his speech to his throng Thursday
    night, that his pending triumph over former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney
    was a victory of ordinary folks over the elite, of truth over dissembling, and
    of will over money. He never tired of pointing out that Romney out-spent him
    “20-to-one,” and it was obviously his former fellow governor – and onetime
    moderate turned conservative exemplar — that he meant when he used words like
    “phony” and “pretender” on the stump.

    Speaking of exemplars, the
    apparent third-place finisher among Republicans, former Tennessee senator Fred
    Thompson, materialized as something of a conservative firebrand Thursday
    morning in a barn-burning speech to a packed room at a West Des Moines hotel.
    For a change this campaign year, he was focused, intense, and capable of a sense
    of humor (he was seen so frequently in the movies, he said, because “they
    need[ed] somebody who was big and worked cheap”).

    Both Thompson and his longtime
    friend John McCain, the given-up-for-dead onetime frontrunner who has surged
    again, finished in a virtual dead heat for third place in Iowa, and each has
    thereby won a ticket to New Hampshire. McCain, a possible winner there, has
    gotten most of the attention, but Thompson is a legitimate substitute either for
    Huckabee, should he falter, or for McCain, if the Republican establishment
    proves unreceptive to the maverick hero again, as it did in 2000.

    “You have done what the cynics said we couldn’t
    do. You have done what New Hampshire can do in five days,” said Obama Thursday
    night, looking ahead. As for Huckabee, he’ll hope to score well in New
    Hampshire, but it’s more likely that he’ll be looking at South Carolina later in
    January, to finish off Romney – and whomever else is still out there, including
    McCain, with whom he, too, like Thompson, still has a mutual-admiration-society
    relationship.

    One way in which pundits are still
    underestimating Huckabee is in concentrating so totally on his evangelical
    persuasion and skimming over, or ignoring altogether, his populism. “Republicans
    have economic concerns,” Huckabee stressed Thursday night, and he didn’t mean
    the high-bracket tax-cut crowd. He talked instead about working families
    struggling to pay for gasoline at the pump.

    As Obama said, “People are looking for someone
    who is willing to say the unorthodox – and [for] authenticity.” Or, as a
    still-game Edwards put it, “One thing is clear from the results tonight. The
    status quo lost and change won.”

    Indeed so. And there is more to come.

    (Flyer political editor Jackson Baker will be
    reporting regularly from Iowa and New Hampshire for the next few days.)

    Categories
    Opinion The Last Word

    The Rant

    Here’s the thing about our friend Tim Sampson, who fills this space most weeks: He knows what he’s talking about. He reads all about the politicians, forms detailed opinions, then writes his columns secure in the knowledge that he is well informed. You’d think that’s a good thing, but the problem is so many of the rest of us are completely uninformed and therefore don’t fully understand what he’s talking about. Although I have figured out that he stays pretty pissed off.

    Yes, I am one of the deliberately unaware. There may have been a time when the whole politics thing seemed groovy to me and I kept up to date, but those days ended sometime around President Clinton’s Hummer-Gate. All of those old white guys getting squeamish while trying to make political hay made me find other ways to keep entertained. I’ve been very busy deciphering the instructions to my new cappuccino-maker. Hours of my life have been filled laboring to teach my cats tricks. This is important work, people.

    Still, I try to read Tim’s column because he’s an old friend. In fact, the dissolute misanthrope was once my boss. (Wrap your head around what that was like.) Now, I open the Flyer and wade my way through his screed, often baffled at who the players are and what their agenda may be. Tim knows his local politics, and there, I’ve got nothing. There are a whole lot of Fords, and they seem to get folks awfully riled up, but I don’t like getting riled up. We’ve had the same mayor for a really long time, and whether that’s a good thing or a bad thing isn’t for me to say.

    On the national front, as far as I can determine, the Republicans are apparently going to run Fred Thompson, Rudolph Giuliani, or the Mormon guy who doesn’t want to always be referred to as the Mormon guy. I understand his wishes on this, but the only name I have for him is the Mormon guy. I will give him this: He has majestic hair. If we elected presidents solely on their sartorial splendor, he’d already be measuring for drapes. Or one of his wives would be. (It’s a joke, son.)

    Giuliani seems pretty cool to me. What I love is that at one point while he was mayor of New York City, he was living in the mayor’s residence with both his soon-to-be ex-wife and his mistress. That’s not bad for a squirrelly guy with a bad comb-over.

    I’ve met Fred Thompson, and he was very actorly. When you meet someone who is actorly, you know it. They’re very well spoken, have a practiced conspiratorial wink, and know how to wear makeup. Unfortunately, I can’t shake the fact that I know lot of actors and they’re, um, not that smart. They can memorize words really, really well, but you don’t want one doing your taxes.

    On the Democrat side, they seem destined to run Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, or Barack Obama. There’s also that crazy little elf, Dennis Kucinich, but this country will never elect a President Dennis. Damn it.

    John Edwards seems like a genuinely nice guy, but it’s hard to get past the whole fighting for the poor while having a house the size of an airport thing. Obama is a very charismatic guy. The few times I’ve seen him on TV, he’s come across as totally prepared to be president. You know who also seems totally prepared to be president? Patriots quarterback Tom Brady. Yeah, that’s not going to happen either.

    Hillary. If you noticed that I saved her for last, it’s mainly because I’m afraid of her. We can quibble about whether her eight years of icily smiling at her husband while she was first lady qualifies as “experience” or whether it even makes sense that she’s a senator from a state she had never lived in before, but the truth is, most every American is scared of the woman. I don’t mean that we fear that she’ll do something crazy as president. I mean we’re afraid that if she got angry at one of us, she would personally kick our ass.

    Between now and whenever we’re supposed to vote — which I think is probably sometime next fall — I’ll do some actual research. Or I’ll just keep reading Tim’s column. And do the exact opposite of whatever that lunatic advises. Like I said, I know the guy.

    Dennis Phillippi is a Memphis writer, comedian, and radio host.

    Categories
    News

    New Desegration Order Causes Controversy in Shelby County Schools

    AP — Officials in Shelby County, Tenn., complain they’ll have to spend millions to satisfy a federal judge’s “arbitrary” desegregation order. It’ll mean busing minority students up to an hour away and replacing hundreds of white teachers with black ones, they say.

    In Huntsville, Ala., under a similar court order, students can transfer from a school where they’re in the racial majority, but not the other way around.

    “So which ruling do I violate?” asks a perplexed Bobby Webb, superintendent of schools in Shelby County, where Memphis is located. “The judge’s ruling now, or the earlier rulings that we can’t discriminate against people on the basis of the color of their skin?”

    Front-page court battles over integration are mostly a thing of the past. But according to the U.S. Department of Justice’s Civil Rights Division, there are at least 253 school districts still under federal court supervision in racial inequality cases and those are just the ones in which Justice intervened.

    Many of the more infamous names Boston, Little Rock, Charlotte, N.C. are gone from the list, having satisfied judges with their desegregation efforts and being granted what’s called “unitary status.” In the last two years alone, at least 75 districts have won such status …

    Read entire article.

    — Allen G. Breed