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New Tool Gauges COVID Risk in Groups

Nebraska Tourism Commission

Beautiful Box Butte County!

Need to get away? Visit lovely Box Butte County, Nebraska!

“Located at the gateway to the Sandhills of Nebraska, Box Butte County offers a unique blend of history, progressive industry, agriculture and people devoted to the betterment of their community,” according to the Nebraska tourism website.

Stroll around downtown Alliance and you can find a good meal at Ken and Dale’s Restaurant (don’t miss the chorizo hash skillet for breakfast). Walk on down and have a Just A Lite Beer at Brewery 719.

Box Butte County is home to about 11,308 souls and that’s key to its appeal this summer. According to a risk tracker from Georgia Tech, there’s little chance of catching COVID-19 there.  COVID-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool

The school’s COVID-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool, gives county-level data on the chance you may have to encounter someone infected with the coronavirus when you visit anywhere in the United States. You can also drill down to the crowd size you expect at your event or outing.

“The issue of understanding risks associated with gatherings is even more relevant as many kinds of businesses, including sports and universities, are considering how to reopen safely,” says Joshua Weitz, professor in Georgia Tech’s School of Biological Sciences and co-creator of the risk tool.

For example, you want to have dinner and drinks on a patio somewhere in Shelby County. You go to the site, plug in the number of active cases in your area (for Shelby County that’s 5,036 on Friday), limit results to Tennessee, and estimate there’s going to be 15 people on the patio. Hit “what’s the risk” and the site spits out an estimated 1.1 percent risk that someone on that patio is infected with the coronavirus.

COVID-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool

Let’s say you want to go to a grocery store with a capacity of 75. There’s a 5.4 percent chance someone there has the virus, according to the site. 

Ramp it up to 1,000. That’s how many people AutoZone Park just announced can attend soccer games there. In that crowd, there’s a 52.2 percent chance someone has the virus.

COVID-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool

The Cooper-Young Festival usually attracts about 100,000 people each year. Festival organizers canceled it this year on concerns of spreading the virus. If that many people gathered in Shelby County today, the website says there’s a greater than 99 percent chance that one of them would be infected.

COVID-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool

You can also gauge the presence of virus for group sizes on a county-level map. Going to mingle in a group of 10 in Shelby County? The tool says there’s about a 39 percent chance someone in that group has the virus. How about a group of 25? There’s a 71 percent chance. 50 people? 92 percent. 100? Yep. 99 percent.

COVID-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool

There are few places in Tennessee you can go and not find someone with the virus in a group of 100 people. For that, most of Tennessee is bright red on the tool’s risk-assessment heat map.

COVID-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool

What happens if we pull back and look at the South?

COVID-19 Event Risk Assessment Planning Tool

The map would make sense if the red indicated temperature. But, sadly, it does not.

Meanwhile, back in Box Butte County (named for a butte that looked like a box), there’s a less than 1 percent chance anyone in a group of 100 will have the virus. Dial that up to 10,000 people and you still probably won’t find anyone with the virus. Same goes for neighboring Dawes and Sioux Counties.

In all, northwest Nebraska is looking pretty good right about now. I’ll have the chorizo hash skillet and a Just A Lite Beer, please.

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Politics Politics Beat Blog

Disproportion: The Legislature’s Shorting of Shelby County

It probably needs to be enshrined in some encyclopedia of Tennessee county history. In 2020, a year of both medical and financial crisis, a statewide infrastructure development fund that ultimately totaled $215 million was recast by the General Assembly as a no-strings-attached emergency aid bill to be distributed to all of Tennessee’s cities and counties.

In the process, and this should take a central place in the encyclopedia, one county, and only one, Shelby County, saw the amount of its aid reduced from the first formulation of the aid fund until final distribution.

That was Shelby County, originally slated to receive $7.7 million — a sum proportionate to its population size, largest among the 95 Tennessee counties. But in the process of final allocation — which included budget reviews by the Senate, the House, and, ultimately, a joint House-Senate conference committee, Shelby’s amount was reduced from $7.7 million by $2.7 million, all the way down to $5 million. It was the only county so reduced.

For purpose of comparison, Knox County, whose population is 456,185 compared to Shelby County’s 937,005, began the process with an allotment from the fund of $4,108,218 but saw its final amount boosted to $5,151,760, outdrawing larger Shelby.

To be sure, the city of Memphis, with a population of 650,618, drew a separate allocation of $10 million. Meanwhile, the city of Knoxville (pop: 187,500) took home $4,167,836. In that case, the emergency-aid appropriations seem proportionate to the size of each city’s population.

Again, though, by any index of proportionality, Shelby County has undeniably gotten short shrift. And it bears repeating, too, that it was the only one of Tennessee’s five counties to withstand a reduction in its aid from beginning to end of the allocation process.

What gives? (Or perhaps: doesn’t give?)

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County to Offer Employees Free Counseling in Response to Coronavirus

Shelby County employees will now have access to unlimited virtual counseling services, Shelby County Mayor Lee Harris announced Wednesday.

The expansion of employee benefits will allow all county employees to receive video, phone, or in-person counseling for free, regardless of if employees are insured through the county.

Harris said as the county works to slow the spread of COVID-19, it’s important to protect the mental health of employees.

“Employees may be anxious about contracting the virus, fearful about exposing their loved ones to the disease, or navigating the unique stressors that have arisen during this public health emergency,” Harris said. “Access to professional teletherapy sessions is one way to ensure that employees have access to counseling and mental health care.”

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Harris is also encouraging other employers in the county to be proactive in supporting the mental health needs of their employees.

The county’s teletherapy program is a part of the Concern Employee Assistance program, which is managed by Baptist Memorial Healthcare.

“Our counseling services are confidential, last about an hour, and can take place via webcam, phone, or in-person,” said Melissa Donahue, program director of Concern. “When you’re stressed or emotionally drained, your ability to perform at home or work suffers tremendously. Now is an appropriate time for organizations to take a look at what they are doing to provide a mentally healthy workplace to their employees.”

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City, County Seek Agent to Oversee Pre-K Funds

The Memphis City Council is considering an ordinance that would appoint a fiscal agent to manage the city and county pre-Kindergarten fund.

The ordinance is a joint ordinance of both the council and the Shelby County Commission. It does three things, Doug McGowen, the city’s chief operating officer told a council committee Tuesday.

“First of all, it says that the city and county are in it together moving forward,” McGowen said. “The second thing is it establishes that we will use a joint fiscal agent, and thirdly it allows city and county officials to serve on that board.”

The fiscal agent, who would serve for three years, would be tasked with establishing a quality pre-k program, as well as managing and distributing pre-K funds.

The dollar amount needed to fund the county-wide universal-needs pre-K is $16 million, McGowen said.


Previously, the city received $8 million of federal assistance to fund 1,000 pre-K seats in the county, but McGowen said that money will run out this summer.

The city and county now want to fund 2,000 seats beginning in the 2019-20 school year.

To do that, McGowen said last year the city put $3 million of excess city revenue as seed money into a dedicated pre-K fund. Additionally, a portion of city property tax revenue and taxes paid by companies whose PILOT (pay-in-lieu-of-taxes) incentive has expired goes to the fund.

The county commission approved the ordinance to appoint a fiscal agent on the first of three readings last week. The council is set to vote on the first of three readings in two weeks. If approved by both bodies, the county commission will issue a request for qualifications to choose a fiscal agent, who Memphis Mayor Jim Strickland and Shelby County Mayor Lee Harris would ultimately select.


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Politics Politics Feature

Trumped Expectations

THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION. Consider: As the year began, the idea of Donald Trump‘s becoming the Republican nominee for president was still considered somewhat fanciful — not to mention what seemed the remote prospect of his actually winning the presidency. But that general impression would change — and fairly rapidly.

It may be largely forgotten now, but Trump actually lost the Iowa Republican caucuses, first trial vote of the year, to arch-conservative Texas Senator Ted Cruz. And when I made my quadrennial visit to New Hampshire to check out the candidates, both Democratic and Republican, I had my doubts about The Donald. In my first online report from New Hampshire, on February 8th, here’s part of what I said:

“But for all the polls that still have Trump way ahead of his GOP rivals — by something like 20 points, at last reckoning — I wouldn’t be surprised if he ends up suffering another major embarrassment like that which befell him in his second-place finish to Ted Cruz in Iowa last week. 

“So far I’ve only seen him in action in Saturday night’s debate of the remaining Republican contenders in Bedford, and, in all honesty, it was difficult to see Trump as a major figure in that event, or, for that matter, retrospectively over the course of the debates and cattle-call forums to date.”

I began to be disabused of that foolish conclusion (“foolish” because I mistook Trump’s lack of attention to issues in a debate to be a disqualifier) when I traveled through a blizzard to see his magic with crowds — and his fundamental uniqueness — at an indoor mega-rally in the state capital of Manchester the very next night.

That was the night that Trump shattered all verbal precedent by referring to Cruz, at the time his major GOP opponent, as a “pussy.” Granted, he was just channeling what he’d heard a woman supporter call out from the crowd, but still …

My online take: “The battle lines are now clear on an issue, perhaps the defining one, of Trump’s campaign — that of political correctness. Oh, go ahead and heap some other adjectives on: Social correctness. Verbal correctness. Philosophical correctness. What you will. The man is come not to uphold the law but to abolish it. 

“In a campaign based on the most broad-brush attitude imaginable toward political issues, it is Trump’s fundamental iconoclasm that stands out. Be it ethnic groups, war heroes, disabled persons, gender equities, or linguistic norms, Trump is dismissive of all protocols.” 

Trump won New Hampshire, easily, and, from that point on, was basically on a roll. He had the obvious aura of a winner by the time he took his road show to Shelby County on February 28th, appearing before a crowd of thousands gathered at a Millington hangar.

From my report: “The crowd, which was plainly not the usual muster of political junkie-dom (though any number of local GOP regulars could be spotted here and there) was uproariously with him … chanting “Win! Win! Win!” [W]hen, as often happens at one of his rallies, a protester began to chant against him from inside the hangar, he calmly directed the crowd to ‘get him out’ but ‘don’t hurt him.’ And so the crowd did, with its counter-chant morphing from ‘Trump! Trump! Trump!’ to ‘Win! Win! Win!’ And finally to ‘U.S.A.! U.S.A.! U.S.A.!’

“Call it what else you will, but this is a movement.”

And a movement it would remain, all the way through Trump’s primary victories, a turbulent GOP convention in Cleveland, and a rancorous fall campaign against overconfident Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton.

Finally, there was the astonishing moment of truth, agonizing for so many, galvanizing for so many others, that was summed up by the now famous Flyer cover of the November 10th issue, showing a victorious Trump in profile over a capitalized caption: “WTF?”

And those bare letters (understandably controversial at the time, though they merely used a common cyber-motif to express a shocked befuddlement that we suspect was experienced by Trump himself) continue to express our — and the world’s — uncertainty as we await the forthcoming reign of The Donald.

OTHER  ELECTIONS: Most local interest was focused on the hotly contested Republican primary for the 8th Congressional District seat vacated by U.S. Representative Stephen Fincher of Frog Jump. A large field competed, including several local politicians. In the end, former U.S. Attorney David Kustoff would come from behind and edge out runner-up George Flinn, the wealthy businessman/physician who had previously served on the Shelby County Commission. Kustoff easily defeated Democrat Rickey Hobson in November.

STATE POLITICS: The prevailing fact of life in state government in 2016 was the same-old, same-old domination of all affairs by a Republican super-majority in the legislature. The upset victory in November of Democrat Dwayne Thompson over GOP state Representative Steve McManus was one of the few circumstances to counter the trend.

An early excitement in Nashville was the deposing of sexual predator Jeremy Durham (R-Franklin), first, from his perch in the GOP leadership, then from his party’s caucus, and, finally, from the General Assembly itself through expulsion.

From Memphis’ point of view, the crowning moment of the legislature had to be the dramatic turnaround of  a stealth de-annexation bill that was on the very brink of detaching from Memphis every territory annexed by the city since 1998. A concerted last-ditch effort by a coalition of city interests turned the tide and diverted the measure to the limbo of summer study.

From my article on that outcome: “‘We really had no idea this was going to happen. But it was the best possible result, obviously. This is really a victory for the entire state,’ said Phil Trenary, the Greater Memphis Area Chamber of Commerce head who had been in Nashville last week and this week opposing the bill.”

The issue of de-annexation is not dead, however. It was the subject of serious examination by local governmental task forces, and it will almost certainly return to the legislative calendar in 2017.

CITY AND COUNTY POLITICS: The first day of the year saw the inauguration of a new mayor, former Councilman Strickland, and of six new council members. One sentence of Strickland’s well-received  inaugural address expressed a painful reality: “We are a city rife with inequality; it is our moral obligation, as children of God, to lift up the poorest among us.” Another acknowledged a problem that still remains: “We will focus on the goal of retaining and recruiting quality police officers and firefighters, knowing public safety is at the forefront of rebuilding our city.”

A new police director, Michael Rallings, was appointed from the department’s ranks, as the city confronted an alarming rise in homicides.
Late in the year, Strickland launched a “Memphis 3.0” initiative to devise a new long-range plan for the city via a series of neighborhood meetings.

The dominant motif of the Shelby County Commission’s year was a back-and-forth power struggle with Shelby County Mayor Mark Luttrell, focused on such matters as control of fiscal policy and the commission’s desire to have its own attorney, distinct from the county attorney’s office. The matter was one of several still hanging fire at the end of the year, though Terry Roland, of Millington, commission chair for much of the year, led the way with Heidi Shafer in getting a referendum passed extending the commission’s advise-and-consent power to the firing as well as the hiring of a county attorney.

Roland made it clear that he intended to run for county mayor himself in 2018, with another likely entry being that of County Trustee David Lenoir. Meanwhile, Linda Phillips became the new county election administrator.

OTHER DEVELOPMENTS: The city council approved a measure to liberalize the penalties for marijuana possession. The Shelby County Commission failed to follow suit, and state Attorney General Herb Slatery’s opinion that state policy prohibited such local ordinances doused expectations, but reports were that medical marijuana might have new life in next year’s General Assembly. 

At year’s end, a major argument had erupted between local environmentalists and TVA over the authority’s intent to drill wells into the Memphis Sand aquifer in order to cool a forthcoming new power plant. Watch this space. 

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News News Blog

Shelby County Measles Outbreak Ends

The Shelby County Health Department has declared the county’s recent measles outbreak to be officially over since no new cases have been confirmed in 42 days, which encompasses two full 21-day incubation periods.

On April 5th, the first measles case in the outbreak was recorded. There were seven confirmed cases during the outbreak period, and 36 people were quarantined and monitored. The health department has reported that 934 people were exposed to the disease during the outbreak — 686 people in non-healthcare environments and 248 in healthcare facilities. A total of 67 public locations were affected.

“I am pleased with the coordinated effort of the Shelby County Health Department and the many community partners, including the Tennessee Department of Health and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, who spent countless hours over the last two months protecting everyone and helping to keep citizens safe,” said Shelby County Mark H. Luttrell, Jr.

Measles is a highly contagious, vaccine-preventable viral infection that starts with a high fever, runny nose, cough and red eyes, followed a few days later by a rash that starts on the head and gradually moves down the body. While typically mild, the measles can result in complications, including pneumonia or inflammation of the brain, that require hospitalization.

“One of the roles of public health is to prevent the spread of diseases such as measles,” said Alisa Haushalter, DNP, RN, director of the Shelby County Health Department. “We continue to urge residents in Shelby County to know their immune status and ensure their entire family, especially young children, have received all of the recommended vaccines.”

During the outbreak, the health department provided 225 vaccines at public health clinics and 160 at pointof-dispensing events. To find out more about vaccines against measles, contact the Shelby County Health Department at (901) 222-9000.

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Mayor Luttrell Tackles Trash, Litter Offenders

Shelby County Mayor Mark Luttrell is trying to step up the efforts to clean the streets — literally.

The county is adding eight inmates to its crews from the Shelby County Corrections Center. These crews will be picking up trash in unincorporated areas of the county near Millington, Cordova, Woodstock, and Northaven, as well as the northeast and southeast areas of the county.

Last year, the county spent $350,000 for roadside trash, covering workers, equipment, fuel, and fees to dump in landfills.

“With more crews on the roadways, those costs are likely to rise this year,” Luttrell said in a media release. “However, we’ve budgeted for the additional resources. The appearance of Shelby County needs to improve in order to retain and attract new businesses and residents.”

According to Bill Gupton, director of the corrections center, 24 inmates will be out every weekday picking up trash. On Saturdays and Mondays, DUI offenders additionally undertake the task.

These inmate crews will also be watching for litter offenders. The Public Works division maintains hidden cameras throughout the unincorporated neighborhoods as well, which are monitored daily for littering and illegal dumping. According to a media release, culprits could be “arrested for illegal dumping and, in some cases, face felony charges for large amounts of trash and other debris.”

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News The Fly-By

New Initiative Aims to Curb Domestic Violence

Kamekio Lewis still remembers the night her former boyfriend chased after her with a knife as she ran barefoot through a neighborhood. When she slipped and fell, she was captured, dragged through the nearby woods by her hair, and brutally beaten.

“He took me to an abandoned house,” Lewis recalled. “My mom ended up finding me some kind of way the next day. Charges were filed: kidnapping [and] assault. I ended up having to be hospitalized. I had a concussion.”

Lewis’ abusive relationship lasted more than two years before she escaped by entering the army. She hasn’t looked back since.

A new comprehensive response to domestic violence, called the Blueprint for Safety, has been launched to aid people in situations like Lewis’. The initiative is intended to assist victims from the time they experience domestic violence and contact a 911 operator through law enforcement’s response and the offender’s prosecution.

Lewis’ story of domestic abuse is all too common. There were 247,069 reports of domestic violence offenses made to the Tennessee Incident Based Reporting System (TIBRS) program from 2011 to 2013. More than 70 percent of victims were women. Across the nation, one in four women is projected to report domestic abuse at some point in their lives. Domestic violence typically involves physical, emotional, verbal, economic, and/or sexual abuse by one person against their spouse or partner.

Last Thursday, Shelby County’s Blueprint for Safety initiative was introduced during a news conference at the Urban Child Institute. Members of city and county government, local law enforcement, the U.S. Attorney for the Western District’s office, Shelby County District Attorney General’s office, General Sessions Division 10, and the Family Safety Center will collectively implement the program.

The initiative seeks to enhance services provided by 911 dispatchers, law enforcement, and victim/witness services to domestic violence victims. It will also strengthen the rehabilitative efforts provided to offenders by the county’s domestic violence court.

The Blueprint for Safety is being funded by a $300,000 federal grant administered through the U.S. Department of Justice’s (DOJ) Office on Violence Against Women (OVM).

“The Blueprint for Safety is an approach to domestic violence cases that coordinates agency responses around the shared goals of safety and justice,” said Bea Hanson, principal deputy director of OVM. “It closes the gaps between what victims of violent crime need from the criminal justice system and the way in which the system is currently responding. The whole point of the Blueprint is to make sure that we’re keeping victims safe and holding offenders accountable.”

Memphis is the fourth city to adopt the DOJ’s Blueprint for Safety model. The initiative is already being implemented in St. Paul and Duluth, Minnesota, as well as New Orleans, Louisiana.

Although it was revealed during the news conference that around 8,000 domestic violence cases occur in the Memphis area annually, the offense appears to be on the decline. According to Operation: Safe Community data, reported cases of domestic violence have decreased more than 16 percent locally since 2011.

The Family Safety Center has been connecting victims of domestic violence with civil, criminal, health, and social services since 2012.

Olliette Murry-Drobot, executive director of Family Safety Center, said the nonprofit would play a central role in helping fully implement and sustain the Blueprint for Safety initiative.

“[We] work closest with victims and have direct knowledge of the impact that the criminal justice system has in the lives of victims,” Murry-Drobot said. “Our tasks are to keep the criminal justice system focused on the experiences of victims and to ensure that their responses keep those experiences at the center of what they do.”

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News The Fly-By

Fly on the Wall 1357

Some Bulls&!t

Talk about taking the bull by the horns. The Jackson Clarion-Ledger reports that 20-year-old Ole Miss student Benjamin Milley was gored by a fighting bull during the Carnaval del Toro festival in Ciudad Rodrigo, Spain. Milley’s surgeon was quoted as saying that the injury wasn’t the worst he’d ever seen, but the largest he’d ever had to operate on. It took three hours to “repair damage to thighs, sphincter, and back muscles.” Ow.

WMC-Monkeys

Joe Birch’s lede would have sounded perfectly natural coming out of the mouth of Kent Brockman, who anchors the Springfield News on The Simpsons. “It started out as an investigation into a dangerous icy prank at Southaven High School,” Birch said in all seriousness. “But it ended with the pranksters tracking down WMC News 5 and taunting us all day on social media.” Birch then pitched to reporter Michael Clark, who reported that teenagers had dumped buckets of water in their school parking lot hoping that it might turn to ice resulting in another snow day for Southaven students. Clark also reported that the young aqua-vandals promised him an interview but didn’t show up. Instead, the teens rode around town behind the WMC van that was out looking for them, taking phone videos and uploading them to YouTube.


#hashtaghashtag

Fly on the Wall hates that we missed this February 9th event because nothing says “healthy lifestyle” like visiting a Subway — in a jail. But the best thing about this promotion is the improbably long hashtag: #ShelbyCountyGovernmentPromoting HealthyLifestyles.

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Department of Justice to Monitor Election Day Voting

coverstory_vote-mag.jpg

Tomorrow, registered voters will have the chance to cast their ballots for the nation’s general election.
And to make sure everything goes smoothly, representatives of the Department of Justice (DOJ) will be monitoring polling locations in Shelby County.

According to the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Western District of Tennessee, DOJ personnel will monitor polling place activities to ensure compliance with the Voting Rights Act and other federal voting rights statutes. And a Civil Rights Division attorney will coordinate federal activities and maintain contact with local election officials.

The Voting Rights Act prohibits racial discrimination during elections.

Voters can contact the Voting Section of the Civil Rights Division to file complaints about discriminatory voting practices, including harassment or intimidation. The Voting Section can be reached at 1-800-253-3931.